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Folks, the Cowboys are not a good team. Additionally, Air Force does everything that the Cowboys do not do. The Falcons run the ball consistently, play solid defense and don't allow penalties to derail successful drives. If you need any evidence of this, please recall that Vegas had the Pokes as 25 point dogs to App State last weekend, On the positive side, Wyoming covered, but the toast landed jelly side down: App State scored 31 and Wyoming crossed the goal line only once in a 31-10 Loss to the Mountaineers.
Wyoming is 0-5 and carrying themselves as if the season is already over. More to the point, it may well be the case that they can not wait for this season to end. Air Force by comparison is still in the thick of things.Worse yet for Wyoming is the fact that it appears that they have been over powered on the defensive front, unable to match-up consistently in the secondary and unable to run the ball with consistency on offense.
AIR FORCE
Date: Oct. 10
Coach: Troy Calhoun
2015: 2-2
2014: 10-3
Offense: Triple option
Defense: 3-4
Air Force brings a physical style of offense to the field. If the Cowboys are to beat them, they must improve against the option. They must tackle better and play solid assignment based defense; two things that they did not do well against New Mexico's option attack 2 weeks prior.
"We know who they are" says Craig Bohl's regarding the AFA attack "They are very effective at what they do, it's going to be a big challenge for us."
Air Force is coming off of a rather embarrassing 33-11 loss to Navy and is looking to get back to basics. Quarterback Karson Roberts makes his third start for the Falcons and is looking to establish an identity for a team that might be lacking confidence after turnover filled games against Michigan State and Navy.
As susceptible to the run as the Poke defense has been, one can expect to see a lot of tailback Jacobi Owens. Owens has been relatively quiet in 2015, but has the ability to light it up every time he touches the football running for 1,054 yards last year even though he missed the final 3 contests due to a foot injury.
Defensively Air Force brings an active 3-4 scheme to the table. This is a concern for Wyoming as they have not fared well versus this style of defense this year, but conversely the Falcons have shown that they are vulnerable to the big play, giving up 297 of 387 yards on 8 offensive plays to a Navy team that is known to chew clock, not strike quickly.
Don't look for any surprises in this match-up. Look for Wyoming QB Cameron Coffman to throw it early to try to gain an early advantage. If Wyoming is to pull this one out, they MUST not have to play from behind. As to season progresses it has become obvious that the Cowboys might need to pitch backwards, meaning that they need to throw early to set up the run.
Wyoming is a 23 point underdog this week, so don't look for a Wyo win. Instead look for improvement on both sides of the ball and, if you're a Cowboys fan, see what the future holds as a bevvy of youngsters will have the chance to make a statement about their mental toughness and intestinal fortitude.