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2014 Mountain West tournament semifinals projections

There are only four teams left in the Mountain West tournament, and once again we provide the projections of who will move on to the finals.

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODA

Then there were four. San Diego State, UNLV, Boise State and New Mexico all advanced to the Mountain West tournament semifinals. The top four seeds did not advance as Boise State had a minor upset over No. 3 seeded Nevada, and these are the four teams that people would have projected once the season began.

As for the matchups, San Diego State topped UNLV both times this year, including an 11-point victory at the Thomas and Mack. New Mexico and Boise State split their season series with the Broncos squeaking out a win at home and the other game saw the Lobos win by nine at The Pit.

TeamRankings.com gives UNLV a decent shot to defeat San Diego State at 43 percent, and a lot of that has to do with the Rebels playing at home. The home court advantage for UNLV at home in this tournament has not been as great in the pat, and UNLV struggled against Wyoming who was missing their best player in Larry Nance, Jr. Whereas San Diego State just boat raced Utah State.

Boise State is playing some of their better basketball of late in this tournament, and just maybe are peaking at the right time. Yet, New Mexico is also playing very well of late, barring the team being out coached in the San Diego State game.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win
1 San Diego State -- -- 57.23% 35.05%
2 New Mexico -- -- 61.90% 28.45%
4 UNLV -- -- 42.77% 23.27%
6 Boise State -- -- 38.10% 13.23%