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The second day of the Mountain West tournament gets underway in a few hours with UNLV hosting Air Force in a critical game first round game, well all games are critical.
With the quarterfinals set TeamRankings.com came out with a new set of odds on who will advance, and how far:
| Seed | Team | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UNLV | -- | 85.81% | 59.11% | 39.45% |
| 1 | New Mexico | -- | 77.30% | 43.41% | 19.57% |
| 2 | Colorado St | -- | 80.79% | 33.41% | 17.82% |
| 4 | San Diego St | -- | 57.91% | 30.80% | 13.01% |
| 5 | Boise State | -- | 42.09% | 19.30% | 6.83% |
| 8 | Wyoming | -- | 22.70% | 6.48% | 1.36% |
| 6 | Air Force | -- | 14.19% | 4.41% | 1.25% |
| 7 | Fresno St | -- | 19.21% | 3.07% | 0.71% |
Not much has changed from the initial projections, UNLV is still a heavy favorite. However, one oddity is that Wyoming has a nearly 1-in-4 chances of getting past top seeding New Mexico, and that seems a bit generous even with Wyoming having Leonard Washington at full strength. Perhaps it is because Washington is back in the lineup and he can hang with the power forwards of New Mexico.
Here is the rest of the tournament schedule:
Tuesday, March 12
Game 1: No. 8 Wyoming Cowboys defeated No. 9 Nevada Wolf Pack, 85-81
Wednesday, March 13 - Quarterfinals
Game 2: No. 3 UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. No. 6 Air Force Falcons, 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Game 3: No. 2 Colorado St. Rams vs. No. 7 Fresno St. Bulldogs, 5:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Game 4: No. 1 New Mexico Lobos vs. No. 8 Wyoming Cowboys, 9:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Game 5: No. 4 San Diego St. Aztecs vs. No. 5 Boise St. Broncos, 12 a.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Friday, March 15 - Semifinals
Game 6: Game 2 winner vs. Game 3 winner, 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Game 7: Game 4 winner vs. Game 5 winner, 11:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Saturday, March 16 - Championship game
Game 8: Game 6 winner vs. Game 7 winner, 6 p.m. ET (CBS)