Last week, we compared the Advanced Stats of UNLV and Boise State and the Rebels had a slight lead in the Advanced Stats. However, the Broncos were able to finish a complete turnaround and pull off the win. This week on Stats Corner, we are going to look at the results of the conference game through the Advanced Stats to see why the Broncos won the game.
The Rebels won the field position battle by just over a yard, starting 68.75 yards from end zone for UNLV while Boise was 70.12 yards. This was helped by three drives in a row that started at 50 yards, 52 yards, and 40 yards for the Rebels. Unfortunately, the Rebels went 3 and out at -5 yards, interception, and 3 and out 0 yards for those drives. Both teams were backed up three times, 87 yards (twice) and 80 yards for the Rebels, one of those resulted in a touchdown, the others were interception and then punt, while the Broncos had 91 yards, 80 yards, and 84 yards all in the second half when the Broncos had a double-digit lead. Those drives resulted in field goal, fumble, and field goal. Also, UNLV had one drive start on Boise’s side of the field, at the 40, while Boise had one drive start from less than 50 yards out, 30 yards.
Net Start Field Position- UNLV
Offensive Field Position-Tie
Defensive Field Position- Tie
Offensive Long Drive- Tie
Defensive Long Drive-Tie
Backed up Stats UNLV 1-Boise State 0
The Broncos were able to convert 7 of 14 3rd downs at 50%, which is up from the season average of 5 conversions at a rate of 43.7%. The Rebels went 6 of 15 which is 40%, down from their season average and nation bet 7.5 conversion a game and a 5th best 50% rate. On four downs the Rebels went just 1 for 3. While the starting field position was similar, having a lower 3rd down conversion rate makes it difficult to sustain long drives.
Offensive 3rd down converted-Boise State
Offensive 3rd conversion rate-Boise State
Defensive 3rd down converted-Boise State
Defensive 3rd conversion rate- Boise State
Third Downs Advanced Stats- UNLV 0-Boise State 4
Down and Distance
Boise State had the best results on first down average at a whooping 10.9 yards per play helped by plays of 57 yards, 70 yards, 31 yards, and 50 yards. UNLV averaged 4.9 yards on first down. On second down Boise State 6.0 compared to UNLV 4.8 and for 3rd downs it was Broncos 8.2 yards and Rebels 4.0 yards. A big difference was Boise State had only 4 first down plays that went for zero or negative yards while UNLV had 11 first down plays that went for zero or negative yards. Putting yourself behind the chains makes the offense more predictable. Boise had an average of 2nd down and 6.4 yards and an average of 3rd down and 4.8 yards, while UNLV had an average of 2nd and 7.8 yards and an average of 3rd and 6.7 yards. The Broncos consistently put themselves into manageable 2nd and 3rd positions while the Rebels were not constant enough on first down and put found themselves in 2nd and long or 3rd and long.
Yards on 1st down- Boise State
Yards on 2nd down- Boise State
Yards on 3rd down- Boise State
2nd down and distance- Boise State
3rd down and distance- Boise State
Down and Distance UNLV 0-Boise State 5
Every time a team got into the Red Zone, they scored. The difference was the Broncos made 5 trips scoring 3 touchdowns and 2 field goals, while the Rebels made one trip and scored one touchdown.
Red zone attempts-Boise State
Red zone offense percentage scoring-Tie
Red zone defense percentage scoring-Tie
Red zone Advanced Stats UNLV 0-Boise State 1
Total Advanced Stats UNLV 1-Boise State 10
The Advanced Stats was about a balanced as the final score. The only area UNLV had the advantage was field position, everywhere else was a tie or favored the Broncos. The Broncos were able to get good yards on first and second down, giving themselves a manageable situation and multiple options of play calling. They were able to convert 3rd downs allowing themselves to sustain long drives which lead to red zone opportunities where they converted every single time.