Last week we compared the Advanced Stats of Fresno State and Boise State and the Broncos lead in the Advanced Stats. However, the Bulldogs were able to pull off the win. This week on Stats Corner, we are going to look at the results of the conference game through the Advanced Stats to see why the Bulldogs won the game.
The Bulldogs won the field position battle by almost 7 yards, 63.3 yards from endzone for Fresno while Boise was 69.9 yards. Meaning the Broncos had to get a first down just to start where the Bulldogs were. Both teams were backed up twice, 88 and 87 yards for the Bulldogs, one of those resulted in a touchdown, while the Broncos had two drives starting 80 yards from pay dirt. Also, Fresno had 3 drives start on Boise’s side of the field while all of Boise’s drives started from more than 50 yards out.
Net Start Field Position-Fresno State
Offensive Field Position-Fresno State
Defensive Field Position- Fresno State
Offensive Long Drive- Tie
Defensive Long Drive-Tie
Backed up State Fresno State 3-Boise State 0
While both teams convert 5 first downs, the Bulldogs had a higher success rate 5-15 33.3% compared to 5-17 29.4% for the Broncos. On four downs the Bulldogs were perfect 1-1 with the Broncos going 0-1. The Broncos had to start every drive in their territory and having a low 3rd down conversion rate makes it difficult to sustain long drives.
Offensive 3rd down converted-Tie
Offensive 3rd conversion rate-Fresno State
Defensive 3rd down converted-Tie
Defensive 3rd conversion rate- Fresno State
4th Down Conversions- Fresno State
Third Downs Advanced Stats-Fresno 3-Boise 0
Down and Distance
Boise State had the best results on first down average 3.8 yards per play, while Fresno State average 3.6. The Broncos improved that to 4.0 yards on second down, while the Bulldogs dropped to 2.7. However, on 3rd downs the Broncos average 3.8 while the Bulldogs jumped to 5.9 yards. A big difference was Boise State had 11 first down plays that went for zero or negative yards while Fresno State had 8 first down plays that went for zero or negative yards. Putting yourself behind the chains makes the offense more predictable. Of Boise State’s 17 3rd downs plays only once went for double digits (the first one for 22 yards) and 7 went for 0 yards while Fresno had 5 3rd downs of double digit gains and 7 which went for 0 or negative yards.
Yards on 1st down- Boise State
Yards on 2nd down- Boise State
Yards on 3rd down- Fresno State
2nd down and distance- Boise State
3rd down and distance- Boise State
Down and Distance Fresno State 1-Boise State 4
Not counting the kneel down to end the game Fresno was in the red zone 3 times and scored twice. The Broncos were in the red zone once and scored on that trip. The one empty trip was a missed field goal.
Redzone attempts-Fresno State
Redzone offense percentage scoring-Boise State
Redzone defense percentage scoring-Boise State
Redzone Advanced Stats- Fresno State 1-Boise State 2
Total Advanced Stats Fresno State 8-Boise State 6
While Fresno State did will the Advanced Stats battle, the most important advantage was Field position and 3rd downs were they held a 6-0 advantage of the Broncos. Starting with a shorter field and being able to convert 3rd downs and create long drives, allowed the Bulldogs to hoist the trophy.