clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Mountain West in the NCAA Tournament

New, 2 comments

A look at expert NCAA Tournament predictions

NCAA Basketball: Mountain West Conference Tournament- Utah State vs San Diego State Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Note: this post is accurate as of February 16th

March Madness is only a month away. On Thursday, March 18th, the tournament will begin, ending with the championship game on Monday, April 5th.

Joe Lundari, a Bracketologist for ESPN, has San Diego State as having 80% or a greater chance of making the tournament and has the Aztecs slated as a nine seed, where they would play the currently predicted eighth seed LSU. Lundari has Boise State as a last four in and if the Broncos were to advance into the field with a win in the first four, they would be an 11 seed. Currently Lundari has Utah State as a 12 seed. All in all Lundari has three Mountain West teams heading to the tournament, which is interesting considering Colorado State is 11-4 and has wins over San Diego State, Utah State, and Boise State.

Jerry Palm, a college basketball expert for CBS, has Mountain West teams in his prediction as well. Palm has Colorado State as a nine seed playing LSU (eight seed), San Diego State as a 10 seed playing Creighton (seven seed), Utah State as a 12 seed playing Virginia Tech (five-seed), and Boise State in the first four out.

The takeaway from this is that there is still a long way to go. It is curious why Colorado State is nowhere to be found on some bracketology predictions despite big wins on the season so far and that San Diego State, despite a loss to Colorado State, BYU, and two losses to Utah State, the Aztecs are still ahead of both the Rams, Aggies, and Cougars due to wins over top 25 teams early in the season. San Diego State still has a challenge against Boise State to end the season and if they can split the series with the Broncos, they may be able to secure a tournament bid. Utah State still has series to play against Boise State, Nevada, and possibly a make-up series against Wyoming. If the Aggies were to split the series against Boise State and sweep Nevada and potentially Wyoming, they could also have a good chance at making the tournament due to the sweep of San Diego State. However, if Utah State were to be swept by Boise State and they then lost a game to Nevada, they may put themselves in a position where they must win the conference tournament to make it.

The point is Colorado State, San Diego State, Boise State, and Utah State are still very much alive in the race to receive a tournament bid and there is still a lot of game left to play from now until Selection Sunday on March 14.