Boise State was considered to be safe bet to make the NCAA Tournament, but now with their 71-66 loss to Wyoming in the semifinals of the Mountain West tournament the Broncos must be feeling some pressure to be left out of the field of 68.
The Broncos should still feel safe as the have swept San Diego State and are 3-3 against the top 50 RPI teams, plus they are 1-2 against teams ranked between 51-100 with both of those loses against Wyoming. Prior to the loss the Broncos RPI was at 40 and that should be safe to earn an at-large berth but the loss will certainly drop them down.
There have not been many teams that have come out of no where to win their conference title and that certainly helps Boise State. What the Broncos need now is for the teams that are suppose to win keep winning, and it would help if Wyoming does not win the Mountain West tournament title, because four teams making the NCAA Tournament from this conference is questionable.
CBSSports.com's Jerry Palm has been updating his bracket all day and his latest update has Boise State as an 11 seed after the loss to Wyoming, but they are now squarely on the bubble.
One thing going for Boise State is that only two teams have been left out of the NCAA Tournament after being ranked in the final regular season polls. Utah State missed the tournament in 2004 after being ranked No. 22 with a 25-3, and last year SMU was ranked 25th in the AP and 23rd in the Coaches Poll.
All Boise State can do now is sweat it out until Selection Sunday to see if they can earn a tournament berth.