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Bracketology: Mountain West is a two-bid league, as of now

The Mountain West might struggle to be a three-bid league for the NCAA tournament

Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports

The Mountain West has more parity this year than it has seen for a long time, and no real dominant team. Two games separate the current number one teams in San Diego State and Wyoming down to Fresno State who is 6-4 in league play. Then there is UNLV who is 5-5 in league play, and they have a win over Arizona.

As of  now, the conference is a two-bid league and maybe a three-bid league if the top of the league can separate itself from the pack and avoid losing to the bottom half of the conference.

The Bracket Project is a great resource that compiles  nearly every website that does a NCAA tournament projection, in all there are 78 sites.

The Mountain West teams projected in the tournament are San Diego State and Colorado State, plus there is Wyoming who is in the first four out.

These brackets are updated from Feb. 1 through Feb. 6.

San Diego State (7 seed) -- The Aztecs average seed is 7.52 and have a high of five and a low of 11

Colorado State (10 seed) -- The Rams average seed is 9.38 and have a high of 6 and a low of 12

Wyoming (First Four out) -- The Cowboys average seed is 11.73 and have a high of 11 and a low of 14. They are in 15 brackets.

Boise State is listed in just two brackets.

Take a look at these numbers below (and glossary) about how the Mountain West teams are faring with the advanced numbers.

2014-15 RPI
RK (RPI) TEAM RPI D1 W-L SOS NCRP NCSS CFRP CFSS 1-25 26-50 51-100 L12 LRPI OFFQ DEFQ ASM
1 (26) San Diego St .6058 17-5 80 72 60 39 118 1-2 0-1 4-1 10-2 29 -1.6 12.4 10.7
2 (29) Colorado St .6008 18-4 103 22 150 94 108 0-0 2-1 3-2 8-4 92 8.3 1.2 9.5
3 (50) Boise State .5809 14-6 98 50 176 59 87 0-1 1-1 1-2 8-4 58 6.8 0.8 7.6
4 (70) Wyoming .5662 17-4 217 47 332 41 100 0-0 3-2 1-0 10-2 98 -2.7 9.0 6.3
5 (102) UNLV .5424 12-9 64 145 5 228 196 1-2 1-3 0-1 6-6 61 3.0 1.0 4.0
6 (120) New Mexico .5306 14-8 167 102 280 96 113 0-0 1-3 1-1 7-5 83 -1.1 7.1 6.0
7 (168) Utah State .5040 11-10 161 156 233 152 125 0-0 1-2 2-2 6-6 147 -0.6 2.2 1.6
8 (226) Fresno St .4686 9-12 233 255 277 137 182 0-0 1-2 0-2 7-5 259 -0.6 -1.9 -2.5
9 (263) Air Force .4450 8-12 253 180 325 248 147 0-0 0-4 0-2 4-8 264 -0.2 -0.8 -1.0
10 (293) Nevada .4227 4-15 156 229 302 216 84 0-0 0-3 0-3 4-8 269 -4.0 -1.5 -5.5
11 (330) San José St .3881 0-20 113 288 181 298 112 0-0 0-2 0-3 0-12 335 -13.0 -4.8 -17.8

Glossary

  • RPI: Numeric ratings percentage index
  • D1 W-L: Win-loss record against D1 opponents
  • SOS: Strength of schedule
  • NCRP: Non-conference RPI
  • NCSS: Non-conference SOS
  • CFRP: Conference RPI
  • CFSS: Conference SOS
  • 1-25: Record against RPI top 25 teams
  • 26-50: Record against RPI 25-50 teams
  • 51-100: Record against RPI 51-100 teams
  • L12: Record last 12 games
  • LRPI: Road and neutral games only
  • OFFQ: Offensive quotient
  • DEFQ: Defensive quotient
  • ASM: Adjusted scoring margin