The race to the Mountain Division is more clear now that the Air Force Falcons upset the Colorado State Rams Friday afternoon, 27-24 on a late field goal by the Falcons. Air Force went 6-0 at home and defeated both Boise State and Colorado State, but they will end up finishing fourth in the Mountain Division.
Colorado State is now eliminated from winning the Mountain Division, and that means that the winner between Boise State and Utah State will now determine who not only will go to the Mountain West title game, but also who will host.
Utah State will have its hands full on Saturday as Boise State is 85-4 at home since 2000, and the last loss that the Broncos have suffered at Albertsons Stadium was in 2012 to San Diego State. The Broncos have a lot riding on this game as they can host the Mountain West title game, but sights are set higher for Boise State as they are attempting to qualify for a New Year's Day bowl game.
As for Utah State, it is a minor miracle they are at the point that they are even in the discussion to win the Mountain West. The Aggies are down to its fourth-string quarterback in true freshman Kent Myers and they are missing key defensive players such as Kyler Fackrell and others to season-ending injuries.
Utah State also has not been challenged all that much ever since Myers took over midway through the win against UNLV, and the only game to be within single digits was the 28-21 victory over New Mexico.
As of Saturday night, Boise State is a 9.5 to 10-point favorite over Utah State, and this is a late night kick at 10:15 p.m ET and on ESPN2.