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2013 BCS standings: Fresno State leads MWC in simulated standings

Fresno State is creeping up the latest simulated BCS standings.

By Jeremy Mauss
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

For any Mountain West team to make a run at a BCS run they are going to need a lot of help as the season progress, and after two weeks of play there is no Mountain West team ranked in either polls. Digging deeper with Samuel Chi's simulated BCS standings gives us an insight of just how far a Mountain West team needs to climb.

Right now 2-0 Fresno State is the highest rated Mountain West team at No. 33 -- four sports higher than last week. Boise State Is No. 47, Utah State is No. 49 and San Jose State is No. 55. There is a ton of movement early since there is very little data for the computers, but one interesting note is how Utah who drubbed Weber State this past week went from unranked to No. 25 in the BCS standings.

Yet, Utah State who lost by four points to Utah actually dropped three spots after defeating a FBS team in Air Force. Utah State does play Weber State at home this week, so perhaps a big win there can move them up the rankings as it did for Utah. However, Utah's gain could just be based on the strength of the Pac-12, just an odd situation I notice.

In the meantime, any Mountain West team that wants to make some noise for a BCS game need to just keep winning.


 ank Pvs Team Coaches % AP % Md* CM JS KM PW RB Cp Avg BCS
1 2 Oregon 2 0.9335 2 0.9233 2 1 2 1 2 0.97 0.9423
2 1 Alabama 1 0.9968 1 0.996 1 1 3 0.48 0.8243
3 4 Stanford 4 0.8561 5 0.8473 3 4 18 1 0.53 0.7445
4 3 Clemson 5 0.8432 3 0.888 7 10 17 4 0.44 0.7237
5 8 LSU 8 0.6884 8 0.7167 5 14 5 8 9 0.68 0.695
6 7 Texas A&M 6 0.8013 6 0.7553 4 11 8 24 10 0.51 0.6889
7 6 Ohio State 3 0.9219 4 0.8847 10 19 7 0.23 0.6789
8 14 Louisville 7 0.7232 7 0.7367 16 12 13 11 0.37 0.61
9 13 Oklahoma State 11 0.5587 12 0.556 11 5 7 4 18 0.63 0.5816
10 11 Georgia 10 0.6587 9 0.6907 8 6 5 0.38 0.5765
11 17 Michigan 12 0.5548 11 0.5813 12 8 14 10 12 0.56 0.5654
12 9 Florida State 9 0.671 10 0.674 6 10 23 14 0.31 0.5517
13 15 Oklahoma 13 0.5161 14 0.45 9 3 9 20 6 0.6 0.522
14 5 South Carolina 14 0.5084 13 0.5527 13 12 8 0.27 0.4437
15 18 Northwestern 16 0.3052 17 0.3013 19 18 2 15 0.26 0.2888
16 27 Miami (Fla.) 18 0.2935 15 0.41 23 21 23 20 0.11 0.2712
17 19 UCLA 17 0.3039 16 0.3253 20 15 11 0.17 0.2664
18 20 Wisconsin 18 0.2935 20 0.252 18 16 11 0.18 0.2418
19 12 Notre Dame 21 0.2245 21 0.222 14 18 13 0.2 0.2155
20 10 Florida 20 0.45 18 0.27 17 20 21 0.11 0.2148
21 21 Baylor 22 0.1916 22 0.1967 15 3 19 0.18 0.1894
22 22 Nebraska 15 0.3084 23 0.1847 24 24 13 24 0.06 0.1844
23 24 Washington 23 0.1632 19 0.2613 21 21 6 25 0.11 0.1782
24 25 TCU 24 0.1258 24 0.1133 22 0 0.0797
25 NR Utah 43 0.0013 0 4 3 0.22 0.0738
26 26 Ole Miss 25 0.0587 25 0.052 15 9 0.11 0.0736
27 NR Auburn 0 0 6 5 0.2 0.0667
28 29 Arizona State 28 0.031 26 0.0427 22 16 25 0.05 0.0412
29 39 Texas Tech 36 0.0045 0 19 17 23 0.1 0.0348
30 NR NC State 0 0 9 16 0.1 0.0333
31 36 Michigan State 26 0.0477 27 0.0173 0 0.0217
32 NR Tennessee 43 0.0013 39 0.0007 20 19 0.06 0.0207
33 37 Fresno State 27 0.0381 27 0.0173 7 0 0.0185
34 NR Illinois 40 0.0019 34 0.006 22 15 0.04 0.016
35 16 Texas 29 0.0245 27 0.0173 0 0.0139
36 41 Arizona 31 0.0135 34 0.006 24 7 0.02 0.0132
37 30 Northern Illinois 30 0.0174 30 0.014 16 0 0.0105
38 NR BYU 32 0.0116 32 0.0093 0 0.007
39 35 Virginia Tech 35 0.0052 31 0.01 0 0.0051
40 40 Georgia Tech 34 0.0077 33 0.0067 0 0.0048
41 34 Kansas State 40 0.0019 0 25 22 0.01 0.004
42 42 Arkansas 33 0.0103 0 25 0 0.0034
43 43 Bowling Green 40 0.0019 35 0.0047 2 0 0.0022
44 28 Penn State ^ 0 35 0.0047 0 0.0016
45 44 Central Florida 37 0.0039 0 23 0 0.0013
46 46 East Carolina 37 0.0039 0 0 0.0013
47 33 Boise State 43 0.0013 38 0.002 25 0 0.0011
48 23 USC 39 0.0032 0 0 0.0011
49 46 Utah State 43 0.0013 0 0 0.0004
50 NR Boston College 47 0.0006 0 17 0 0.0002
51 NR Rutgers 47 0.0006 0 0 0.0002
52 NR Colorado 0 0 12 0 0
53 NR Ball State 0 0 13 0 0
54 NR Washington State 0 0 14 0 0
55 32 San Jose State 0 0 17 0 0
56 NR Duke 0 0 21 0 0
57 NR Minnesota 0 0 22 0 0

Keys: Pvs = Previous Week; Coaches = USA Today Coaches Poll; AP = Associated Press Top 25; Md = Median ranking of 26 computer ratings; CM = Colley Matrix; JS = Jeff Sagarin; KM = Kenneth Massey; RB = Richard Billingsley; Cp Avg = Computer Average.

Explanation: This rankings method is a simulation of the actual BCS standings, with the following variations: 1) The AP Poll is used in place of the Harris Interactive Poll, which is not published until after the first weekend of October; 2) Four of the six BCS computer ratings are available - Colley Matrix, Jeff Sagarin, Kenneth Massey and Richard Billingsley; 3) The other two computer ratings - Anderson & Hester and Peter Wolfe - will not be available until late-September or October, so they're replaced by the median ranking of 26 computer ratings.

^ Penn State is ineligible for inclusion in official BCS standings.

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