clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

PredictionMachine.com has Fresno State winning Mountain West regular season

Fresno State is projected to win the Mountain West regular season, according to PredictionMachine.com.

By Jeremy Mauss
Scott Olmos-US PRESSWIRE

College football is just two weeks away (yay!), and there are more and more predictions coming out. The latest comes from PredictionMachine.com which has just recently simulated the entire college football season, 50,000 times.

These projected win loss totals are for the regular season, but they also have bowl projections which we will get to shortly. The website has Fresno State winning the league in the regular season with a 9.9 win total average to just 2.1 losses, and they are followed by Boise State at 9.5 wins and 2.5 losses.

Going by that logic, Fresno State would likely lose to a combination of Boise State, at San Diego State and Rutgers. As for Boise State, the loses to be considered are a combination of at Fresno State, at Washington, at BYU and at Utah State. A loss at San Diego State could be in the cards for Boise State, but the Utah State projects at less than seven wins, so that is why that game is not as highly considered.

The website is not keen on too many Mountain West schools being all that great after Fresno State and Boise State. Only four teams are assured of a bowl game, but Nevada and Wyoming are pegged at 5.9 wins, while Colorado State and Air Force are above five.

However, while Fresno State is projected to win the regular season, Boise State goes on to defeat Fresno State 24-20, and that means beating Fresno State on the road in early December.

Here are the win total projections:

Standing

Team

Avg. Wins

Avg. Losses

1

Fresno St. Bulldogs

9.9

2.1

2

Boise St. Broncos

9.5

2.5

3

Utah State Aggies

7.9

4.1

4

San Diego St. Aztecs

6.8

5.2

5

San Jose St. Spartans

6.8

5.2

6

Nevada Wolf Pack

5.9

6.1

7

Wyoming Cowboys

5.9

6.1

8

Colorado St. Rams

5.6

7.4

9

Air Force Falcons

5.3

6.7

10

New Mexico Lobos

4.3

7.7

11

UNLV Rebels

4.2

7.8

12

Hawaii Warriors

3.1

8.9

There are also bowl projections as well:

Las Vegas Bowl:
Boise State 24, Washington 21, odd since this would be the third meeting in 12 months.

Armed Forces Bowl:
Fresno State 35, Navy 19

Famous Idaho Potato:
San Jose State 32, Ball State 25

New Mexico Bowl:
UCLA 45, Nevada 24

Poinsettia Bowl:
San Diego State 30, Ohio 21

Hawaii Bowl:
Utah State 31, East Carolina 23

More from Mountain West Connection:

Next Up In Mountain West Football