Now all TCU has to do is not lose to New Mexico and they are guaranteed a BCS bid, but if they lose then it will be messy. The BCS rules state that the conference champion of a non-BCS league gets the bid and the WAC has no tiebreaker scenario, so if Boise State beat Utah State next week and Hawai'i wins today there will be a three way tie for the WAC title. Boise State probably will still be ahead of Nevada in the BCS if they win out and then it comes down to where TCU and Boise State would be and I think it would be safe to assume that a loss by New Mexico would easily drop them below Boise State. So in other words, TCU is in if they win but if they somehow lose then the BCS bid goes back to Boise State, assuming that they do not have a hangover and beat Utah State. A big thanks to @MurphsTurph for the clarification that the WAC does not have a tiebreaker.
Now onto the games!
BYU Cougars at no. 21 Utah Utes (CBS College/The Mtn. 3:30 p.m. eastern)
No 3. TCU Horned Frogs at New Mexico Lobos (Versus 4 p.m. eastern)
UNLV Rebels at San Diego State Aztecs (The Mtn. 8 p.m. eastern)
The other national games of interest are below that could effect TCU's BCS bid are below:
No. 5 LSU Tigers at No. 12 Arkansas Razorbacks (CBS 3:30 p.m. eastern)
If LSU wins they are almost assured of a BCS bowl bid by virtue of Boise State's loss and with clause that allows a team from a BCS league to gain an automatic BCS bid if they are not a conference champion but are third or fourth. One thing I just thought of and will expound on here. Is that if LSU wins today and South Carolina win today then the SEC could get three teams in, there is a rare loophole that allows that to happen. In this case South Carolina is the league champ and gets an auto-bid, LSU is at worst in the three spot and if Auburn falls only to four they would get one of the non-automatic automatic BCS bids. I think I am right on this, Ill consult with Ben at BCS Evolution who knows this stuff.
The next three games determine who goes to the Rose Bowl from the Big 10
Michigan Wolverines at No. 8 Ohio State Wolverines (ABC 12 p.m. eastern)
No. 10 Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nitanny Lions (ESPN/ESPN3.com 12 p.m. eastern)
Northwestern Wildcats at No. 6 Wisconsin Badgers (ABC/ESPN3.com 3:30 p.m. eastern)
Let's hear what you think. Register for a free account here on the site so you can leave your comments, predictions and other game day chatter below in the comments section below.