2010 is starting to look a lot like 2007 when LSU was able to get into the BCS title game with two loses. This great news for Boise State, TCU, and maybe even Utah if get past TCU; these teams have a shot to make the title game with all of the top teams losing.
The top spot will be between Oregon, Auburn, and a remote possibility of Boise State. There is also a very small chance that TCU could be ahead of Boise State.
Here is a chart put together by BCS Evolution comparing these schools computer rankings which are based off of yesterday's results and what they might* look like later today:
Component | Auburn | Oregon | Boise State |
AND | 1 | 4 | 6 |
BIL | 5 | 6 | 1 |
COL | 1 | 5 | 6 |
MB | 2 | 5 | 6 |
SE | 3 | 1 | 5 |
WOL | 1 | 9 | 5 |
Computer AVE | 0.9700 | 0.8400 | 0.8200 |
Coaches Poll | 0.8900 | 0.9850 | 0.9400 |
Harris Poll | 0.9100 | 0.9850 | 0.9500 |
BCS Average | 0.9233 | 0.9367 | 0.9033 |
* I use might because the BCS does not check the math and the computers do not have a ton of data yet.
Here is the projected standings by BCS Evolution with some commentary on the gaps:
1) Auburn Tigers
2) Oregon DucksThese will be the top two in tomorrows standings. This time I am sure.
3) Boise St. Broncos
4) TCU Horned FrogsIt is possible that TCU passes Boise State this week, but they should hold their spot in the top 5, with Oklahoma and LSU falling out.
MSU has a fairly large gap on either side of them. There are no overwhelming pressures to end that, though Missouri may fill the gap below them.
6) Missouri Tigers
7) Alabama Crimson Tide
8) Utah Utes
9) Oklahoma Sooners
10) Wisconsin Badgers
11) Nebraska Cornhuskers
12) LSU Tigers
13) Ohio St. Buckeyes
14) Stanford Cardinal
15) Florida St. Seminoles
The one person who got Oklahoma right late Saturday/early Sunday was the BCS Guru so here is their top 15:
1. Auburn
2. Oregon
3. Boise State
4. TCU
5. Michigan State
6. Missouri
7. Alabama
8. Utah
9. Wisconsin
10. LSU
11. Oklahoma
12. Ohio State
13. Stanford
14. Nebraska
15. Florida State
These also could vary depending how the human voters place the teams.
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