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Week Five Mock BCS Standings

By Jeremy Mauss


Five of the six computer rankings are out which for some reason determine who qualifies for a BCS berth, instead of that wacky notion of on the field play.  I know that sounds crazy, but we should always trust the all-knowing computer.

The computers for some reason are smitten with LSU despite their lackluster wins on the year --minus Georgia.  What jumps out the most is that the number one and two teams in both polls -- Texas and Florida-- are three and four in these simulate rankings.  Now the Florida part can easily be taken care of with a win over LSU this weekend, and Texas will be fine if they keep winning because the winner of the Florida/LSU matchup will drop below them and LSU plays Alabama this year.

Boise which could move up from attrition from the above teams losing, but right now the difference is .0526 which is actually a large number and will only increase with Texas tougher games ahead.  The computers LOVE Boise and they are fourth in the combined five of six computer rankings; that puts them ahead of Texas and Florida.  The computers also really like Iowa with four polls having them second or third.

TCU which is the other undefeated non-BCS team is getting zero love from the computers, but all it will take is one Boise lose and for them to go undefeated and they are in as they are currently 11th in the standings.  Only one computer poll has them in the top five while the others have them from 12 to 17.  BYU which is trying to be the first one loss non-BCS team to qualify is sitting at a distant 22nd with only three computers even ranking them, and those have them in the upper 20's.

Now, these are simulated numbers and not the official BCS rankings, but with seven of the eight components they are not far off.  The official standings will be released October, then the round of who got disrespected can begin.

Below the jump is the simulated BCS standings from BCS Guru, they included both the coaches poll, harris poll, and five of the six computers with only Peter Wolfe'ss computer rankings not available.

 

2009 BCS STANDINGS (SIMULATED) - WEEK 5

Rank Pvs Team Rk Coach % Rk Harris % AH CM JS KM PW RB Cp Avg BCS Conf
1 1 Alabama 3 1366 0.9261 3 2665 0.9351 24 22 24 22 0 24 0.920 0.9271 SEC
2 3 LSU 4 1273 0.8631 4 2469 0.8663 25 25 25 25 0 25 1.000 0.9098 SEC
3 2 Florida 1 1473 0.9986 1 2818 0.9888 19 18 16 10 0 22 0.630 0.8725 SEC
4 4 Texas 2 1408 0.9546 2 2705 0.9491 20 19 10 5 0 23 0.540 0.8146 B12
5 5 Boise State 6 1133 0.7681 5 2245 0.7877 18 16 20 19 0 21 0.730 0.7620 WAC
6 6 Virginia Tech 5 1141 0.7736 6 2187 0.7674 17 20 18 21 0 13 0.680 0.7403 ACC
7 9 USC 7 1123 0.7614 7 2173 0.7625 14 9 22 18 0 15 0.560 0.6946 P10
8 7 Cincinnati 10 937 0.6353 9 1866 0.6547 15 17 21 9 0 16 0.570 0.6200 East
9 10 Iowa 14 655 0.4441 11 1492 0.5235 23 24 23 24 0 18 0.880 0.6159 BTen
10 11 Ohio State 8 1072 0.7268 8 1980 0.6947 7 8 11 8 0 17 0.340 0.5872 BTen
11 8 TCU 9 965 0.6542 10 1773 0.6221 10 12 14 11 0 20 0.470 0.5821 MWC
12 18 Miami (FL) 11 750 0.5085 12 1471 0.5161 16 15 17 20 0 12 0.600 0.5415 ACC
13 15 Oregon 17 433 0.2936 15 1067 0.3744 9 10 15 14 0 19 0.480 0.3826 P10
14 27 Auburn 19 369 0.2502 19 801 0.2811 22 21 19 17 0 1 0.580 0.3704 SEC
15 16 Penn State 12 713 0.4834 13 1316 0.4618 2 3 1   0 10 0.060 0.3350 BTen
16 19 Kansas 15 616 0.4176 16 1065 0.3737 12 14   1 0   0.130 0.3071 B12
17 17 Oklahoma State 13 702 0.4759 14 1157 0.4060         0   0.000 0.2940 B12
18 30 Wisconsin 25 156 0.1058 25 362 0.1270 21 23 12 23 0   0.560 0.2643 BTen
19 25 Georgia Tech 23 278 0.1885 22 505 0.1772 5 11 7 12 0 7 0.300 0.2219 ACC
20 23 Mississippi 16 460 0.3119 18 822 0.2884         0   0.000 0.2001 SEC
21 24 Missouri 18 386 0.2617 23 476 0.1670 8 5 3 3 0 5 0.160 0.1962 B12
22 22 Brigham Young 20 353 0.2393 17 847 0.2972   2 2   0 3 0.040 0.1922 MWC
23 12 Oklahoma 21 346 0.2346 20 695 0.2439         0 8 0.000 0.1595 B12
24 26 South Florida 24 220 0.1492 24 442 0.1551   13 8   0 4 0.120 0.1414 East
25 28 Nebraska 22 329 0.2231 21 509 0.1786         0   0.000 0.1339 B12

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