Series History: Air Force leads 24-20-3
Last year: Air Force 23 Wyoming 3. Air Force forced five turnovers on the road and the Falcon defense stifled any hope of Wyoming starting the season 2-0.
Point Spread: Air Force by 10.5
Wyoming: The Pokes (4-2) are winners of three in a row and the offense has put up 30+ points in each win since true freshman Austyn Carta-Samuels has been named the starting QB. Coach Christensen has this team believing in themselves and isn't afraid to play the young players who are willing to play hard. The Cowboys put up a second half shutout against New Mexico last Saturday.
Air Force: The Falcons (3-3) boast the nations 17th best defense in total yard in FBS and rank second in the Mountain West. Have lost three games by a combined 13 points. Their running game is as potent as ever with six players with over 100 yards rushing so far this season. Coach Calhoun hasn't decided who still start the game at QB for the Falcons. Tim Jefferson was the starter before an ankle sprain took him out four weeks ago. Connor Dietz has filled in nicely in his absence. Jefferson has the better arm while Dietz is a much stronger runner.
Why Wyoming will win: Team morale is sky high after two come from behind victories and then a solid victory at home last week. With all the veteran leadership on defense the Cowboys are familiar with the Falcons triple option offense and know how to stop it. The Falcons have never seen the Cowboys spread offense in person and will have a hard time bottling up Austyn Carta-Samuels. The Falcons have a number of injuries to their linebacking corp that help the Cowboy passing game.
Why Air Force will win: After a three point loss to TCU last week the Falcons are ready to win again. Wyoming has never started 3-0 in the Mountain West. The defense only gives up 13.8 pts a game and have has success against Wyoming by winning the last three meetings between these two teams.
Final thoughts: This game will tell us a lot about the rest of the season. If Wyoming can pull out a victory then they control their destiny as they fight for a bowl berth. If they lose it could be a tough stretch as they face Utah and BYU after the off week. Falcons need this win after two narrow defeats in the past two weeks.
Prediction: Wyoming pulls out a hard fought game and escapes Colorado Springs with a W.
Wyoming 23 - Air Force 17