Both Air Force and New Mexico are struggling this year -- yes that is an understatement -- as neither team has won a conference game and each has just two wins on the year. That being said even at the start of the season each team was a fringe bowl game, so I am sure that ESPNU is glad that they get to broadcast this game.
As for this game this likely will a game that will see at least 600 yards of rushing between the two schools. Air Force does not have the stout defensive lineman to limit the Lobos pistol attack led by running back Kasey Carrier and quarterback Cole Gautsche. Each should be able to crack 100 yards on the ground, and there is a real possibility that Carrier could crack 200 yards.
Air Force will likely go toe-to-toe with New Mexico in the ground game, and the Falcons will be looking for another big game from running back Anthony LaCoste who broke out last week against Army with 263 yards, including two runs of over 70 yards and three touchdowns.
With neither defense being all that special this could have the chance to be a fairly high scoring game, and the over/under on this game is set at 59, yet it dropped after opening at 64. Do not be surprised if either team gets above 30 points in this contest.
This game will not come down to who runs for more yards but it will be what defense can either limit the big play, or whichever one can create a turnover.
New Mexico will want to force freshman quarterback Nate Romine to throw the ball. Romine is 18 of 29 for 259 in his last three games. That is pretty accurate but the more Air Force throws means that they are in long yardage situation and/or losing in this contest.
Air Force on defense needs to have their down lineman and inside linebackers limit the up the middle run and force New Mexico to go outside o all of their running games. Also, if the Falcons can force Gautsche to throw the ball then the Lobos have a good chance to get the road win.