The ever popular NCAA football series is releasing their annual game on July 9, and it is the stretch run before actual football begins. The game allows us to take a look at our teams and play some football with those players who are to be stars on one's team in the fall.
The team ratings always get released a few weeks ahead of time, and the San Diego St. Aztecs ranking was a bit puzzling as they were give an overall rating of 84, a defensive rating of 84 and offensive rating of 83 second; that makes them the second best in the Mountain West. However, the advanced stats have San Diego State with a 78 rating, and the Las Vegas odds makers project the Aztecs over/under win total at just 7.5.
It is clear that EA is much higher on San Diego State than others, so why is that the case?
Lets start with their defense which is the tops in the Mountain West at 83, best in the league. In 2012, the Aztecs were third in the Mountain West in yards per game and points allowed per game. So, placing them at the top of the league is not out of the question, however not sure how they are ahead of Boise State. The Broncos gave up almost less points than the Aztecs at 15.8 to 24.4 points allowed per game. San Diego State does return nine starters including one of the best in the Mountain West in Jake Fely. Their defense should be just as good if not better, but saying they are the best defensive unit is a slight stretch.
Then there is the offense, the Aztecs are rated with the second best unit. They are behind Boise State and tied with Fresno State. The Aztecs do have running back Adam Muema who can make a claim for the best back in the Mountain West, and Adam Dingwell is a solid quarterback, but beyond that their wide receivers are not yet proven. The big shock is that San Diego State is ahead of San Jose State, and streets ahead (Community reference for those who are unaware of that term) of Utah State. Both of the new Mountain West schools have a better quarterback and and offense that at the very worst should be on par with the Aztecs, well, actually not so, San Jose State should be rated as the higher offensive team.
Does EA know something that a lot of people who follow college football know, or are they just going off of some other metric that is not exactly clear?
So, is EA keeping it real with San Diego State's team rating? Sound off in the comments about the Aztecs, or heck any team in the Mountain West. Also, this is a two part post about NCAA '14, so some lucky commenter (possibly more than one) will help out with the next yet to be determined topic.