2013 Week 11 Mountain West Football Odds

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODA

We're about two thirds done with the season...and still have not learned that betting is bad for your pride. That being said, here's a quick guide on how to bet in Week 11.

Last Week: 2-4

Overall Record: 29-33

This season has been sporadic in terms of the spread and what teams should do.  For someone like me, who pretends to know what he's doing, it's frankly embarrassing.  BUT I WILL NOT REST!

So that being said, let's hop to it.

All times in Pacific Time Zone

Friday, November 8 2013

6:00 PM: Air Force at New Mexico (-3), O/U=59.5- This game might as well be a pick'em.  Air Force beat down Army last week, while New Mexico barely lost to a turnaround SDSU team.  The main question for Air Force is, "Was Anthony LaCoste's performance last week a fluke?"

My Pick-New Mexico covers- I will take Kasey Carrier over Anthony LaCoste any day.  Lobos edge the Falcons by a touchdown.

Saturday, November 9 2013

12:30 PM: Hawaii at Navy (-16.5), O/U=53- Navy is decent, and Hawaii has all but surrendered the season.  The worse news for the Rainbow Warriors? The worst team in the nation does not get 1st round pick.

My Pick-Navy covers- Navy barely lost to a ranked Notre Dame team last week, and should have no problem dispatching Hawaii.

12:30 PM: Nevada at Colorado State (-8.5), O/U=64.5- HEY GUYS, HEY GUYS, DID YOU KNOW NEVADA IS ON A FOUR GAME LOSING STREAK? The last time Nevada had a four-game losing streak was back in 2001 where the Wolf Pack 3-8.  I don't see Nevada breaking the streak this week with that rush defense.

My Pick-Colorado State covers- Kapri Bibbs will rush for 150 yards in a 10-point Rams win.

5:00 PM: Utah State (-14.5) at UNLV, O/U=55.5- Utah State has shown that they can be relatively successful without Chuckie Keeton (that's our obligatory Chuckie mention of the week).  UNLV, on the other hand, still needs to prove that they can beat decent bowl-bound teams.

My Pick-UNLV beats the spread- The Rebels will lose this game, but they should have enough fight in them to keep it close until the last 5 minutes of the game.  Aggies by 10-13 points.

7:15 PM: Fresno State (-9) at Wyoming, O/U=78.5- All the spread tells us is what we have learned this season: the Bulldogs play to their competition.  There should be ZERO reason why Fresno State doesn't beat Wyoming by 20 points, even with a fully functional Cowboy offense.

My Pick-Fresno State covers- My question is this: Can the Bulldogs actually dominate someone like they're supposed to?  If they can, their ranking and position in the BCS should not be questioned.

7:30 PM: San Diego State at San Jose State (-6.5), O/U=56.5- Both of these teams have finally overcome their slow starts, but the struggles are not over yet.  If there is one X-Factor to this game that ensures the victory, it is this: David Fales versus San Diego State's defense.  The Aztec defense pretty much ended Derek Carr's minimal Heisman hopes, keeping him under 300 yards passing and limiting him to 2 touchdowns.  The Aztecs need to keep Fales to similar stats if they want to win this game.

My Pick-San Jose State covers-  This game will be all touchdowns, and I think Fales will toss three of them in a 7-point Spartan victory.  Really though, the real winner is those people who spend their time playing Civilization, because we finally get to see how the Greeks would fight the Aztecs.

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