There will be some changes when the latest BCS standings are released Sunday night. For starters Oregon and Texas A&M lost, and there was a top 10 matchup between Baylor and Oklahoma State which saw the Bears fall from the undefeated ranks.
Ohio State is now an Alabama and/or Florida State loss from controlling their path to the BCS title game. Also, with Baylor losing it gives Missouri or Auburn a real chance to earn their way to the national title game. It will be interesting to see if Auburn can pass Ohio State if they beat No. 1 Alabama and then win the SEC over a one-loss Missouri team. That would give Auburn likely a pair of wins over a pair of top five teams and maybe enough to pass them over Ohio State.
Missouri if they get past Texas A&M, who probably will be ranked in the low teens or early 20s, and then if Alabama is No. 1 could also be enough to pass Ohio State. Of those two SEC teams, Auburn has the better computer rankings than Ohio State right now, and that should only increase if they win out. Auburn likely has the better chance to jump Ohio State with one loss than Missouri.
As for the non-BCS teams, Fresno State will still stay ahead of Northern Illinois and the two should be ranked No. 14 and 15, which would be one spot higher than last week.
Here are my top 16 projected BCS standings:
- Florida State
- Ohio State
- Oklahoma State
- South Carolina
- Michigan State
- Arizona State
- Fresno State
- Northern Illinois
Now here are my BCS bowl projections, and these are end of season projections. The two teams who make it the title game will allow for their contracted BCS bowls to pick their replacement first. After that this is the bowl order: Orange, Sugar and Fiesta Bowl.
BCS title game: Alabama vs. Florida State
Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Baylor
Sugar Bowl: Auburn vs. Fresno State
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. UCF
Rose Bowl: Stanford vs. Ohio State
The official BCS standings will be released Saturday night at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.