Week 13 of Mountain West play starts off early with a Thursday tilt between Air Force and UNLV.
UNLV at Air Force (-1.5): UNLV is still searching for their sixth win to become bowl eligible for the first time in years. Also not sure the last time the Rebels were a road favorite, but a 1.5-point favorite is really a pick'em. My early choice goes with UNLV who will cover by getting the win.
Navy at San Jose State (-2): This is another interesting line with San Jose State being a small home favorite over a six-win Navy team. The Spartans are still looking for their sixth win of the year, but their rush defense has been pretty bad and my early pick is to go with Navy to win outright.
Hawaii at Wyoming (-7): The way both teams played last week I am inclined to take Hawaii to cover, and just maybe get the win. The Cowboys are falling apart and despite Hawaii making the trip to 7,000-plus feet my inclination is to say that at the very worst the Warriors will cover, and if they win that would not prove to be too big of a shock.
Colorado State at Utah State (-7.5): Kapri Bibbs probably will not have as big a game he has been having over the past month due to Utah State's linebacking group is very good. Until Bibbs is stopped one has to side with the rising redshirt sophomore, and the touchdown line is too high. The Rams will cover this game on the road against the Aggies.
New Mexico at Fresno State (-31): Book it now, the Bulldogs will cover against the Lobos. Fresno State might give up maybe three touchdowns, but they will put up over 50 at home on Saturday night.
Boise State at San Diego State (+7): This game has a lot of emotions for Boise State since San Diego State ended a very long home winning streak last season. Seeing the Broncos favored by seven points would have seemed to be too high two weeks ago, but the poor performance against Hawaii makes this seven-point line in favor of the Broncos seem logical. The outcome, Boise State will win and cover.
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