College Football Rankings: Preseason Simulated BCS Standings

There is nothing more college football than the annual tradition of complaining about the BCS (only two more seasons!). BCS Guru Samuel Chi has put together his top 25 simulated BCS standings with the information that is available right now.

That information includes the USA Today Coaches Poll, AP Poll (subbing for Harris) and only a partial list of computer rankings do a preseason list. Boise State comes out looking very good in this initial projection. The three of the four computers have them ranked in the top 10, and the exact numbers are fifth, sixth and eighth, with one has them at No. 17.

So even with tossing out the high and low Boise State has a nice computer average. With that they are No. 18 in the poll. The reason that is huge is because as of now the highest Big East team is Louisville who comes in at No. 30, and (I know this is way off) with that ranking for the Big East it would allow Boise State to earn a BCS bowl bid if they get to No. 16.

This list goes 47 deep to include any team that gets any BCS points, and no other Mountain West team makes the cut, but I expect that to change. as the season progresses.

Here are the simulated BCS standings:

Team Coaches AP Md JS KM* RB Comp. Avg Proj. BCS

1 Alabama 0.9485 0.9407 1 1 1 1 1 0.963

2 LSU 0.9512 0.9347 2 2 2 2 0.96 0.9486

3 USC 0.941 0.9633 5 9 12 7 0.71 0.8715

4 Oregon 0.8529 0.8493 3 3 4 4 0.9 0.8674

5 Oklahoma 0.8651 0.8573 4 4 5 9 0.82 0.8475

6 Arkansas 0.6427 0.642 7 10 7 6 0.74 0.6749

7 South Carolina 0.6651 0.6627 11 14 10 11 0.58 0.6359

8 Georgia 0.7193 0.738 12 18 13 22 0.39 0.6158

9 Michigan 0.6936 0.6667 10 25 18 12 0.39 0.5834

10 Florida State 0.7153 0.7287 13 17 19 0.29 0.578

11 Wisconsin 0.5037 0.5587 9 11 9 16 0.59 0.5508

12 Oklahoma State 0.3227 0.2867 6 6 3 3 0.86 0.4898

13 Michigan State 0.4861 0.4947 14 23 15 13 0.39 0.4569

14 Stanford 0.3369 0.2553 8 7 8 5 0.76 0.4508

15 West Virginia 0.5647 0.5707 18 22 21 0.17 0.4351

16 TCU 0.3383 0.2647 15 8 14 17 0.5 0.3677

17 Texas 0.3722 0.3793 16 13 22 0.27 0.3405

18 Boise State 0.1837 0.1413 17 5 6 8 0.68 0.335

19 Virginia Tech 0.3125 0.3653 19 16 18 0.25 0.3093

20 Nebraska 0.3397 0.3233 21 19 19 0.19 0.2843

21 Clemson 0.4054 0.41 23 0.03 0.2818

22 Kansas State 0.2698 0.2 20 25 10 0.23 0.2333

23 Florida 0.1695 0.1427 25 12 24 0.17 0.1607

24 Notre Dame 0.1125 0.0553 22 24 20 0.12 0.096

25 Missouri 0.002 0.002 23 15 16 25 0.25 0.0847

26 Texas A&M 0.019 0.0033 21 11 0.2 0.0741

27 Baylor 0.0156 0.006 17 15 0.2 0.0739

28 Auburn 0.0447 0.0353 20 21 24 0.13 0.07

29 Houston 0.0047 0.0007 24 23 14 0.17 0.0585

30 Louisville 0.0312 0.07 0 0.0337

31 Washington 0.0434 0.0367 0 0.0267

32 Southern Miss 0.0041 0 20 0.06 0.0214

33 Georgia Tech 0.0237 0.0167 0 0.0135

34 Utah 0.0149 0.02 0 0.0116

35 Cincinnati 0.0217 0.002 0 0.0079

36 BYU 0.0068 0.0147 0 0.0071

37 South Florida 0.0081 0.0073 0 0.0052

38 Miss. State 0.0142 0.0007 0 0.005

39 Tennessee 0.002 0.01 0 0.004

40 NC State 0.0075 0.002 0 0.0032

41 Louisiana Tech 0.0068 0.0007 0 0.0025

42 Virginia 0.0061 0 0 0.002

43 Central Florida 0.0034 0.0027 0 0.002

44 Rutgers 0.0034 0 0 0.0011

45 FIU 0.002 0 0 0.0007

46 Northern Illinois 0.0014 0.0007 0 0.0007

47 Texas Tech 0.0007 0 0 0.0002

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