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NCAA Bubble Watch: Four Teams In, Wyoming Oh So Close To Being No. 5

The latest NCAA tournament Bubble Watch is out on SB Nation and there are four Mountain West teams once again in the field with UNLV and San Diego State are still considered locks as a No. 3 and No. 4 seed. San Diego State is actually on the cusp of earning a three seed as they are the highest of the four seeds. San Diego State and UNLV host each other this week so look for the winner to jump up a seed line and the other to fall at least one see line come the next Bracketology update.

Star-divide

New Mexico is currently on the bubble, but are fairly safe as a No. 9 seed, however Colorado State is still in at a No. 12 seed and is avoiding the opening round game. Colorado State did not play this week so they had no chance to help or hurt their chances, and no other team was able to replace them. Then there is Wyoming who has not played since their upset over UNLV last Saturday and they are one of the first four teams out.

This Saturday there are key matchups that could shape the at-large chances of Mountain West teams:

-- Wyoming at New Mexico, 3:30 p.m. ET (The Mtn)

-- San Diego State at UNLV, 4 p.m. ET (NBC Sports Network)

-- Colorado State at TCU 8 :30 p.m. ET

I will assume that Colorado State will win that game to not effect their bubble status, it is not a qualify win, but a game that they can not afford to lose. Last time the two teams met it went to double overtime with Colorado State winning 95-89.

San Diego State and UNLV matter only to seeding and not much more, but the big game with NCAA tournament implications is Wyoming at New Mexico. A Wyoming win would likely put them in the tournament and probably around a No. 13 seed or maybe an opening round No. 12 seed, and a loss for New Mexico could knock them further to the wrong side of the bubble and maybe even out of the next bracket update. The last time these two teams played New Mexico won by 10 points.

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I'm gonna say it now...because i've been following them (kinda) all season:

Go Pokes!

"Natty Light: For when you absolutely, positively have to knock uglies with a corn-fed co-ed from the opposing school who’s half your age." -- jonfmorse

This is a twitter
And this is a Mountain West website

by greekpadre on Feb 10, 2012 9:42 AM PST reply actions  

I feel New Mexico will win the game ..

The 10 point win earlier was in Laramie. However, not one team in the MWC can be overlooked, including Boise State who has yet to win a game. No one can let down their gaurd. New Mexico by 15 in the PIT.

I hope Wyoming makes the field…just not at NM’s expense.

by LoboJo on Feb 10, 2012 12:56 PM PST reply actions  

Win or lose...

what an amazing season for the Pokes considering where they were last year. I wasn’t sure about Shyatt coming back, but now I’m certainly a believer.

by JoshWalrath on Feb 11, 2012 8:45 AM PST reply actions  

agree

I thought by losing top players they would be near the bottom with AFA this year, seems the NIT is where the Pokes will likely go.

by Jeremy Mauss on Feb 11, 2012 11:57 AM PST up reply actions  

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