The Colorado St. Rams are currently one of the first four teams out in the latest SB Nation bracketology projections, so Saturday's game against the No. 9 ranked San Diego St. Aztecs is a big deal if the Rams want to secure an at-large bid. The Rams will be taking on the Aztecs on the road which is the first of many obstacles they will have to over come if the Rams are to defeat the Aztecs. The Rams are 10-6 in road and neutral games but in true road games they are just average with a 7-5 record while the Aztecs have only lost one game at home all season. The last time these two teams met the Aztecs won on a last second shot by guard D.J. Gay beat the Rams 56-54.
The Rams are athletic enough to hang with the the Aztecs, but being on the road is different and for the Rams to win they will need Andy Ogide to have a big game to have a good chance of beating the Aztecs. The Rams will essentially be playing for their at-large NCAA tournament lives on Saturday, because while losing to the Aztecs is not at all a bad loss, but the Rams overall resume lacks quality wins. Their best win is over UNLV who has an RPI in the top 30, but outside of that the Rams next best win is over New Mexico.
If the Rams lose they would have to win at least two games in the Mountain West tournament to gain at-large consideration. As of now they would be matching up against New Mexico which is a winnable game, and then possibly face BYU. Not to get to far ahead of myself here, but if BYU is really in a tail-spin then the Rams could have a shot to make it to the Mountain West tournament finals. That is a week off so no need to speculate too much.
The Aztecs will be celebrating senior night and with the chance for San Diego State to earn a share of the Mountain West regular season title, the arena will be rocking which will make it tough for Colorado State to stay in the game. After the BYU loss, the Aztecs rebounded quite nicely by routing Wyoming 85-58. The Aztecs were nearly upset by Colorado State in their first meeting so do not expect the Aztecs to take the Rams lightly.
The matchup of the night to keep an eye on will be Aztec forward Kawhi Leonard against Ram forward Andy Ogide. They should be matched up through out the night and both players are physical, rebound and can score. The outcome of the game could be decided by which forward has a better game. Guard play will also be a huge factor and that is where San Diego State should be able to take advantage of Colorado State.
IF the game is anything like the previous matchup then this will be a must see game.
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