UNLV has had a semi-rough season so far. The Runnin' Rebels have had seven losses already come on the season and they need to get a few more good wins before the end of the season in order to ensure an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. One of those big games is Saturday's road game against Colorado State. Unfortunately, both CSU and UNLV can't face eachother until they finish playing two of the MWC's bottom feeders.
Air Force has actually been good this season compared to their campaigns in past seasons. The Falcons are 13-10 and 4-7 in the MWC. Air Force played one of the softest non-conference schedules in history, and went 9-4. In conference play, they beat Wyoming and TCU as well as already having swept Utah. While Air Force has an RPI of 95, it's mainly because they simply haven't had very many losses.
UNLV's main goal in this game will be to simply not let this one get close and not look ahead to their major matchup with Colorado State. Air Force really doesn't have many strong points, so look for UNLV to try and improve on some weak spots in their half-court offense during the game. This includes moving without the ball, which the Rebels have really struggled with. Whenever UNLV runs their offense, it almost always turns out to be an isoolation or pick and roll. The problem with that is that you never get any movement and the shot clock just runs down if the player with the ball isn't able to drive on his defender.
My prediction is a simple 15 point win for the Rebels.
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