Boise State Has A 10 Percent Chance To Play In BCS Title Game

Last week was the first in which I looked at Football Outsiders and College Football by the Numbers who both predict who the undefeated teams would finish out the season. First up is CFBTN's list of teams who will make the national title as well as winning the national title. 

Here is the latest list by CFBTN:

Team Ave. Record Play Champs Opponent
Alabama 12.9 - 0.1 43.2% 22.4% Oklahoma
LSU 12.7 - 0.3 38.9% 20.6% Oklahoma
Oklahoma 11.8 - 0.2 34.9% 17.1% Alabama
Stanford 13.0 - 0.0 27.0% 15.6% Alabama
Wisconsin 12.9 - 0.1 28.6% 11.7% Alabama
Boise St. 12.0 - 0.0 10.1% 6.5% Alabama
Oklahoma St. 12.0 - 0.0 14.8% 5.1% Alabama
Oregon 12.0 - 1.0 2.2% 1.1% LSU

Lat week Boise State was at 13.4 percent to play for the national title and 8.1 percent chance to win the title. My assumption for the decrease is that teams ranked ahead of Boise State won, and the teams below them who could jump them also won. 

Here is how CFBTN predicts the win total and percentage of wins a team will get by years end.

The remaining road for undefeated teams

The remaining undefeated teams based on odds of finishing with zero losses according to Football Outsiders.

Team
BCS Rk
SOS to Date
SOS Remain
0 Loss 1 Loss 2+ Loss
Boise State
5
67
99
76.8% 21.2% 2.0%
Houston
19
109
105
54.3% 37.5% 8.2%
LSU
1
14
27
43.1% 46.0% 10.9%
Stanford
8
119
51
29.7% 42.0% 28.3%
Clemson
7
64
46
29.2% 44.4% 26.4%
Alabama
2
69
24
27.1% 49.0% 23.9%
Wisconsin
6
113
18
22.1% 42.2% 35.7%
Oklahoma State
4
46
40
21.2% 41.4% 37.4%
Oklahoma
3
96
3
15.1% 37.2% 47.7%
Kansas State
11
76
4
1.9% 14.3% 83.8%

 

Follow Mountain West Connection for more news around the clock via twitterfacebook and now google plus.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Mountain West Connection

You must be a member of Mountain West Connection to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Mountain West Connection. You should read them.

Join Mountain West Connection

You must be a member of Mountain West Connection to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Mountain West Connection. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker