BCS Standings And BCS Bowl Projections

The top four stat the same this week with TCU increases their lead over Boise State. Stanford gets a big jump and rose to the six spot. The Big 10 race could come down to the final BCS standings so that race will be interesting. ONe thing that is odd is that Auburn is still number one in the computer rankings even though they played an FCS team.

Harris USAToday Computer BCS
Rank Team Record Rank Pts % Rank Pts % Avg Avg Last Week
1. Oregon 9-0 1 2820 .9895 1 1463 .9919 .910 .9638 1
2. Auburn 10-0 2 2684 .9418 2 1389 .9417 1.000 .9611 2
3. TCU 10-0 3 2620 .9193 3 1340 .9085 .950 .9259 3
4. Boise St. 8-0 4 2585 .9070 4 1330 .9017 .790 .8662 4
5. LSU 8-1 6 2221 .7793 6 1153 .7817 .890 .8170 10
6. Stanford 8-1 8 2134 .7488 9 1058 .7173 .770 .7454 13
7. Wisconsin 8-1 5 2229 .7821 5 1184 .8027 .620 .7349 9
8. Nebraska 8-1 9 1984 .6961 8 1067 .7234 .770 .7298 7
9. Ohio St. 8-1 7 2145 .7526 7 1123 .7614 .470 .6613 11
10. Oklahoma St. 8-1 13 1508 .5291 11 832 .5641 .770 .6211 17
11. Michigan St. 9-1 10 1682 .5902 10 876 .5939 .670 .6180 14
12. Alabama 7-2 11 1627 .5709 12 791 .5363 .540 .5490 6
13. Iowa 7-2 12 1564 .5488 13 779 .5281 .490 .5223 16
14. Utah 8-1 15 1265 .4439 15 659 .4468 .510 .4669 5
15. Arkansas 7-2 14 1422 .4989 14 696 .4719 .400 .4569 18
16. Oklahoma 7-2 16 1067 .3744 16 569 .3858 .410 .3900 8
17. Missouri 7-2 20 757 .2656 20 395 .2678 .520 .3511 12
18. Arizona 7-2 19 817 .2867 19 403 .2732 .400 .3200 15
19. Mississippi St. 7-2 18 904 .3172 18 477 .3234 .310 .3169 20
20. Virginia Tech 7-2 17 1033 .3625 17 563 .3817 .050 .2647 22
21. Nevada 8-1 21 661 .2319 21 328 .2224 .140 .1981 23
22. Florida 6-3 23 228 .0800 24 85 .0576 .110 .0825 NR
23. South Carolina 6-3 22 284 .0996 22 151 .1024 .040 .0807 19
24. Kansas St. 6-3 31 43 .0151 28 36 .0244 .190 .0765 NR
25. Texas A&M 6-3 24 127 .0446 25 79 .0536 .110 .0694 NR

Screen_shot_2010-11-07_at_7

Now onto the projections and again here is the order

A. A team in the NCG; 
B. The host team for another BCS Bowl; 
C. When two bowls lose host teams, then the bowl losing the number one team may not select a replacement team from the same conference as the number two team, unless the bowl losing the number two team consents.

4. After steps No. 1, 2 and 3 have been completed, any bowl with an unfilled slot shall select a team from the automatic qualifiers and/or at-large teams in the following order for the games played in 2007 through 2010:

January 2011 games: Sugar, Orange, Fiesta

BCS Title game:

Oregon Vs. Auburn

Rose Bowl:

TCU vs. Wisconsin

 

Sugar Bowl:

LSU vs. Nebraska

Orange Bowl:

Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

 

Fiesta Bowl:

Oklahoma State vs. Pitt

Before Boise State fans get all over me for not picking them. I took into consideration what the bowls would do, and the Sugar Bowl gets the first pick and they would take LSU over any other team, and then with Nebraska and Ohio State available they would be taken over Boise State. It does not help that the Orange Bowl would not want a rematch of Boise State vs. Virginia Tech. 

The hope for Boise State to take on a good opponent would be for the Pac-10 to not have enough teams to go to the Las Vegas Bowl, and then there could be a potential matchup between Boise State and Utah. While not a BCS bowl at least they would get a good matchup.

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