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2010 Basketball Season Preview: New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico is coming off a school record 30 wins, so that will be tough to repeat. The Lobos lost their top two leading scorers in Darrington Hobson to the NBA, plus Roman Martinez graduated. The Lobos will finally be playing in the finished Pit that was under construction last year which had bathrooms and concessions outside. The loses of Hobson and Martinez equaled 30 points per game of production; however last years Lobo team was one of the youngest teams in the country and as hard as it maybe the team looks to be deeper and more physical. The Lobos will need that physicality when they take on San Diego State who are the early favorites in the Mountain West.

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This years team is still very young as the only senior is Dariese Gary and he should be the teams go to player. Last year, he averaged 12.7 points and 3.9 assists per game; expect his numbers to go up and be the team leader. A player that will join Gary in the back court and become a key player is Phillip McDonald who has seen plenty of time as a freshman and sophomore. In his first year he averaged seven points per game and then last year increased his production to 10.6 per games. Phillips was on the honorable mention all-conference team last year and is accurate from three-point range; last year he shot 39.6 percent. The backups behind Phillips and Gary have limited experience, but the way coach Steve Alford plays a lot of players, so look for Jamal Fenton and Curtis Dennis to get a lot of time.

Size was something that the Lobos needed and they were able to pick up freshman center Alex Kirk who is 6-11, 230-pounds. He is a local product from Los Alamos (N.M.) High School and was rated as the 97th-best overall prospect, and seventh-best center entering his senior season by ESPNU He was a wingspan of 7-2 and in high school averaged 23.8 points, 12.7 rebounds and 6.7 blocked shots per game as a senior. So, yes he is a big man and is expected to contribute right away for the Lobos. The transition from high school to college will be much different, so we will see how quickly he can adjust.

The back court will be filled with freshman and newcomers. Three freshman that are expected to see significant time is Tony Snell who can play both inside and outside. Snell is also being mentioned as a young Darrington Hobson. The other two are 6-9, 230-pound freshman forward Cameron Bairstow and 6-3 freshman guard Kendall Williams.
Bairstow is from Brisbane, Australia and the Australian Institute of Sport that produced players like Andrew Bogut and Patrick Mills. So, big things will be expected from him.

Also, in the back court the Lobos get two transfers in 6-7 sophomore Tennessee transfer Emmanuel Negedu, as well as 6-9 junior forward and UCLA transfer Drew Gordon. Gordon won't be eligible to play until mid-December. These two will provide some much needed depth in the back court. Negedu was granted immediate eligibility, instead of sitting out the mandated one-year transfer rule, because when at Tennessee the school wouldn't clear him to play after an incident where his heart stopped and he had to be revived by trainers before last season began. That is a serious issue if it is a reoccurring issue with his heart.

The Lobos were projected to finish third in the Mountain West, but they are receiving votes in both the AP and coaches polls. New Mexico will be good, but it just depends how good they will be with the infusion of young talent. An NCAA tournament bid is expected and anything less would be a disappointment.

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Oh, yeah, college bball season is upon us!

I agree, it’ll be hard getting 30 wins this year. But we look way more talented and definitely deeper than we were at the same time last year. How the lobos answer the following 3 questions will be the key to their success/failure this year:

1. How long will it take for the talented new bigs to adapt and perform?
UNM never had a true center last year, and had real trouble underneath when facing teams with size. Well, this year is almost a total reversal. All of the recruits and transfers instantly upgrade our size down low and overall depth. Unfortunately, they are all either really young (Kirk and Bairstow) or transfers with big questions (Negedu and Gordon). Hopefully Steve Alford will have this settled by the time conference play begins.

2. Who will step up to be a reliable secondary scoring option to Dairese Gary?
Towards the end of last season, Dairese Gary improved his ppg by 7 or 8 from the beginning of the season. I have no doubt he will lead us in scoring, and be reliable doing so. Phil McDonald was expected to step up as the other scorer, but has thus far been absent in the first few preseason games. Keep an eye on Curtis Dennis, who has scored a lot of points in limited action the first 2 games.

3. With all the new players, can the Lobos recapture the chemistry they had last year?
It depends. The absolute fire the Lobos played with last season, the calmness under pressure, and the ability to finish games was a trademark of last season. Since then they lost their best player Hobson and the fiery emotional leader Martinez. But I think that the attitude last year’s team carried came primarily from their coach, Steve Alford. Will he and Dairese be able to impart this attitude and mental toughness on a young team in only one season?

4. Finally, how will the other teams in the MWC perform?
In my opinion, SDSU will be the team to beat this year. Besides returning all of their starters, they seemed to have come of age during the MWC tourney last year and peformed well in the NCAAs. Can they get over the hump? BYU returns Jimmer Fredette, but I don’t see them being any better than last season. Also, they’ve lost their fair share of contributors. Between the 2, SDSU poses the biggest threat to the Lobos.

by ChiLobo#23 on Nov 13, 2010 10:43 AM PST reply actions  


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