BCS Standings Released, Bowl Projections And Craig James Is An Idiot (But You Already Knew That)

College football -- to me -- is the best sport around, but watching the ESPN BCS show is hard to watch as Craig James for some reason has Michigan State 3rd in his top 10. He moved them ahead of Boise after Michigan State had to come from behind to beat a so-so Northwestern team.

James also is giving credit for the Spartans for beating four good teams. Well, not really, they Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois and Northwestern. That is really one really good team, a good team, a bad team, and a meh team that will be bowl eligible thanks to a bad non-conference schedule.

James mentions power! Did he not see Boise State just tear apart the Oregon State and Virginia Tech's offensive and defensive line. James saying to keep an open mind, really! Again, Michigan State is third. Then James says, "no glass ceiling for me." That is total BS. 

People may think I am just bashing on Michigan State, but their jump in the polls seems to be moving up just because of their league affiliation. Yes, Utah has one of the worst schedules, but their back end of season features much better teams. Also, when the three non-BCS teams are not allowing points and scoring a lot what more can they do?

You know it is a suspect show when Kirk Herbstreit is the voice of reason. He admits he is a BCS league snob, but he brings valid points to the table by saying to Craig James to look at the defense of Boise State, TCU, and Utah. Those three schools are just playing out of their minds defensively as all three schools are in the top 10 nationally in scoring defense with TCU giving up less then 10 points per game.

Yes, that competition is less, but these coaches are putting in the two's and three's in the fourth quarter and rarely miss a beat. Also, TCU held Air Force to seven points, but Oklahoma gave up 24 to Air Force. 

Back to Herbstreit, he makes good points by actually watching to see how good teams are because he agrees with most everyone that the WAC or MWC is not as tough top to bottom as the SEC or Big 10.

Before I get to the rankings and BCS bowl projections (based on this weeks data), here are two tweets that cleanly sums up this mess of a sport that I love:

Chris Fowler: "I don't like the system at all." Kudos to Chris. "We don't know who is the best team." Candid admission.less than a minute ago via txt

Chris Fowler: "I have no idea if Oregon is better than Boise St. Or what would happen if Auburn played TCU. And that's the problem."less than a minute ago via txt

This problem would be solved if the powers of be would man up and have a playoff.

Bowl Champ. Series Ranking

Harris USAToday Computer BCS
Rank Team Record Rank Pts % Rank Pts % Avg Avg Last Week
1. Auburn 8-0 3 2611 .9161 3 1350 .9153 .98 .3267 4
2. Oregon 7-0 1 2818 .9888 1 1463 .9919 .74 .2467 2
3. Boise St. 6-0 2 2668 .9361 2 1383 .9376 .78 .2600 3
4. TCU 8-0 4 2545 .8930 4 1308 .8868 .87 .2900 5
5. Michigan St. 8-0 5 2250 .7895 5 1175 .7966 .93 .3100 7
6. Missouri 7-0 8 2061 .7232 8 1060 .7186 .96 .3200 11
7. Alabama 7-1 6 2220 .7789 6 1152 .7810 .57 .1900 8
8. Utah 7-0 7 2095 .7351 7 1091 .7397 .64 .2133 9
9. Oklahoma 6-1 11 1701 .5968 11 871 .5905 .82 .2733 1
10. Wisconsin 7-1 9 1897 .6656 9 973 .6597 .65 .2167 13
11. Ohio St. 7-1 10 1858 .6519 10 966 .6549 .60 .2000 10
12. LSU 7-1 12 1574 .5523 13 787 .5336 .78 .2600 6
13. Stanford 6-1 13 1562 .5481 14 763 .5173 .49 .1633 12
14. Nebraska 6-1 14 1448 .5081 12 802 .5437 .47 .1567 16
15. Arizona 6-1 15 1202 .4218 16 628 .4258 .50 .1667 18
16. Florida St. 6-1 16 1189 .4172 15 651 .4414 .46 .1533 17
17. Oklahoma St. 6-1 20 755 .2649 20 385 .2610 .39 .1300 14
18. Iowa 5-2 17 907 .3182 19 401 .2719 .26 .0867 15
19. Arkansas 5-2 18 828 .2905 18 404 .2739 .18 .0600 23
20. South Carolina 5-2 19 790 .2772 17 431 .2922 .16 .0533 21
21. Mississippi St. 6-2 23 392 .1375 23 251 .1702 .28 .0933 24
22. Miami (FL) 5-2 22 466 .1635 22 260 .1763 .20 .0667 NR
23. Virginia Tech 6-2 21 556 .1951 21 317 .2149 .00 .0000 25
24. Nevada 6-1 24 162 .0568 26 48 .0325 .17 .0567 NR
25. Baylor 6-2 25 124 .0435 24 70 .0475 .03 .0100 NR

 

Baylor moving into the top 25 definitely helps out TCU's strength of schedule and is just a small weapon in their pocket to gain more love from the computers.

Here are my projections based on the current standings and here are is the selection order:

January 2011 games: Sugar, Orange, Fiesta. Also, when a conference loses a team to the title game that bowl gets first pick before the above mentioned order takes place.

BCS Title Game:

 

#1#2

 

Rose Bowl:

#3#5

 

Sugar Bowl:

#7#4

 

Orange Bowl:

#16 #8

 

Fiesta Bowl:

#6URPittsburgh Panthers

 

The last spot came down to Utah and Oklahoma, but naturally the Sooners would ger the nod.

Now onto my end of season projections:

BCS Title Game:

 

 

Rose Bowl:

 

Sugar Bowl:

 

Orange Bowl:

 Virginia Tech Hokies 

Fiesta Bowl:

 

Pittsburgh Panthers

First off, with Utah hosting TCU they get the nod over the Horned Frogs. Also, the Rose Bowl spot decision to pick Stanford looks to go unbeaten the rest of the way and move into the top 12 to be considered for an at-large bid. Utah could be an intriguing choice for the Rose Bowl since the Utes are going to be in the Pac-12 next year. Since Boise State is projected to be in the title game against Oregon, the clause that says the first time the Pac-10 or Big 10 champion is in the title game a non-BCS team gets the spot does not apply in this situation for Utah since Boise is in the BCS title game.

Even with that the Utes might be considered. The Big East champ could be Pitt and the most wins they could get are nine and the only two teams that could get to ten wins are West Virginia and Syracuse. Michigan State wins a tiebreaker over Ohio State for the Big 10 title, but the Buckeyes get picked to go to the Sugar Bowl over Wisconsin even though the Badgers are ranked higher. We all know it is about butts in the seats and hotel stays, and that is what the Buckeyes will bring to New Orleans.

That is enough BCS bashing and predicting for tonight.

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