Statistical Comparison of the Fiesta Bowl: #4 TCU Horned Frogs vs. #6 Boise State Broncos
The big Fiesta Bowl is less then a week away, so now is a good time to compare how the two teams stack up regarding the most important statistics in the game.
Both teams are strong in both offense and defense with a slight edge to TCU in the defense prowess. That TCU defense is the reason they won last year when these teams played in the 2008 Poinsettia Bowl.
Do not be fooled by the overall lead TCU has some of the margins are very thin and these two teams are very equal.
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I’m aware that the margins are thin in almost all cases, but I’m still glad to see TCU has the superior stats, particularly on account of playing against superior competition.
I think that the competition is key
Especially on offense where the MWC defenses are much better than WAC defenses. Boise State doe not have a solid edge in any offensive stat and in rushing TCU dominates on both sides of the ball.
Boise State will need their edge in turnover margin to kick in to keep up with TCU.
Another factor not listed above is that TCU sees this as their title game. Boise State sees this game as another BCS snub. This works in TCU’s favor.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
Actually it's just the opposite
I live in Boise and the majority see TCU as arguably the best team in the country. BSU easily could have been dismissed and be playing in the Poinsettia bowl again, so they are very happy to be there. Also, they get a chance to redeem last years loss. TCU is ranked higher and was very close to possibly playing in the NCG, so if anyone is disappointed I would think it would be TCU. Although, it is TCU’s first BCS bowl game and I think they are happy to be there. They both should be playing other teams though. Bunch of crip!
Still disappointing to me.
As a BSU fan I am also a fan of any non-bcs team. I think TCU is quite possibly the best team in the country. Note that I did say possibly because without playing it’s all speculation. Personally I think TCU would CRUSH Texas or Alabama and I also think BSU could beat Iowa or Georgia Tech. BSU is going to lose credibility in this matchup because if they lose they will be looked at as losing to just another non-bcs team instead of losing to possibly the best team in the country and if TCU wins they won’t be looked at as the best team in the country. I am optimistic though and occasionally convince myself that BSU can pull off a win until I go back and watch a couple of TCU games and the optimism fades. I like that BSU is getting a chance to play TCU and gauge just how good they are. BSU often plays to the level of their competition, so it should be interesting. However, the rest of the BCS country will only look at this as a matchup of the lesser teams. I think everyone will agree that coaching plays a HUGE part in the success of any sport and every coach has to start somewhere, possibly a small non-bcs school. To me, good competition is what makes a challenge fun. I don’t see the fun in not letting everyone compete?! The BCS is a sham and a fraud!!
turnovers
It is simple to say that if Boise wins the turnover battle then they will win. Fumbling is TCU’s down fall if any, so if Boise can create fumbles and pressure Dalton that is their way to win this game.

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