Various Mountain West Bowl Projections
by Michael Rueckert on Nov 9, 2009 8:18 PM PST
in Football
12 comments
Bowl projections from across the various media outlets. The Mountain West is looking to get five teams into bowl games.
TCU
CBS - Orange Bowl vs Georgia Tech
ESPN - Fiesta Bowl vs Iowa
ESPN - Orange Bowl vs Georgia Tech
Scout - Sugar Bowl vs Alabama
SI - Fiesta Bowl vs USC
My prediction: Orange Bowl vs Georgia Tech. The ACC is tied in to the Orange Bowl, and they get the first pick of at-large teams. Georgia Tech should win the ACC and will be automatically selected to the Orange Bowl. TCU will probably be ranked 3 in the BCS standings, which will be too high for the Orange Bowl to pass up.
Utah
CBS - Las Vegas Bowl vs Cal
ESPN - Poinsettia Bowl vs Cal
ESPN - Las Vegas Bowl vs Oregon State
Scout - Humanitarian Bowl vs Boise State
SI - Poinsettia Bowl vs Boise State
My prediction: Las Vegas Bowl vs Cal. I expect the Utes to defeat BYU, and finish 2nd in the MWC. The Vegas Bowl will pass up on BYU this year for the first time in four years and select Utah. The Pac-10 will likely have 2 teams in the BCS, which leaves the Vegas Bowl with the 5th place team who will likely be Cal.
BYU
CBS - Poinsettia Bowl vs UCLA
ESPN - Poinsettia Bowl vs Cal
ESPN - Las Vegas Bowl vs UCLA
Scout -Las Vegas Bowl vs Arizona State
SI - Las Vegas Bowl vs Oregon State
My prediction: Poinsettia Bowl vs UCLA. BYU will finish 3rd in the MWC, but with TCU going to the BCS, BYU will play in the MWC's second bowl game. UCLA will barely become bowl eligible when they beat Washington and Arizona State and fill the Pac-10's place.
San Diego State
CBS - Armed Forces Bowl vs Tulsa
Scout - Poinsettia Bowl vs Arizona
My prediction: New Mexico Bowl vs. Idaho. In Hoke's first year at San Diego State, he will already have them bowling. They will be the final Bowl eligible team for the Mountain West, and will be selected by the New Mexico Bowl. The New Mexico Bowl also has tie ins with the WAC, and will select Idaho. They will be the WAC's last bowl eligible team as well.
Air Force
CBS - Humanitarian Bowl vs Idaho
ESPN - Armed Forces Bowl vs SMU
ESPN - Armed Forces Bowl vs Tulsa
Scout - Armed Forces Bowl vs SMU
SI - Armed Forces Bowl vs SMU
My prediction: Armed Forces Bowl vs Tulsa. Air Force is already Bowl Eligible and in a lock for the Armed Forces Bowl, unless they can overtake BYU. Conference USA has tie ins to the Armed Forces Bowl, and I expect Tulsa to win out to finish the season (7-5).
Wyoming
ESPN - New Mexico Bowl vs Fresno State
My prediction: Wont be bowl eligible. Wyoming needs two more wins and will lose to TCU and to San Diego State or Colorado State on the road. Still will be a very successful year for the much improved Cowboys.
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Whoah I forgot to finish this.
How did it post?
Follow me on Twitter!
by Michael Rueckert on Nov 9, 2009 8:41 PM PST reply actions
I thought you were done so I posted it.
Just saw it sitting in drafts for a few hours.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 10, 2009 5:20 AM PST up reply actions
tcu vs georgia tech is a good matchup
tcu could go 3-0 vs acc conference. utah vs boise would be a real bad matchup. utah is 0-3 vs boise and i believe it would be 0-4 if they played. wyoming needs to win 2 more to get bowl eligible. boise is going to get an at large bid anyway so utah can play the fifth place team from the pac – ten.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 9, 2009 8:54 PM PST reply actions
I think TCU will play Georgia Tech, but I would like them to play Florida.
My hope is the Orange Bowl passes up TCU for a team like USC, who will bring in a higher national audience.
I think Alabama goes to the national championship, which sends Florida to the Sugar Bowl. My hope is TCU is available for when the Sugar Bowl picks.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 9, 2009 9:23 PM PST up reply actions
Wyoming will beat
The ’Tecs and the Lammies. New Mexico here we come!
UNLV still has a shot at a bowl. Won’t happen though.
If you guys play like you did against BYU
I don’t see you beating the aztecs, here is to a great game on saturday though.
Chargers = Aztecs
We have proof.
The Orange Bowl will definitely pass on TCU, particularly if Georgia Tech wins. Tech historically doesn’t travel well, so the Orange Bowl will jump on a team with a much bigger fanbase and alumni base than TCU to sell tickets. TCU will head to either the Fiesta or Sugar bowls. The Armed Forces Bowl will likely jump at the chance to get SMU for their first post death penalty bowl game since they’re local and more likely to make the jaunt to the Amon Carter than Tulsa would. Though that means TCU fans will have to deal with the insufferable Pony crowd once more this year, it’s a small price to pay to see butts in seats in our bowl game.
Exactly my point. They’re obligated to take the ACC champ (Georgia Tech or Clemson) and will either have to pick an opponent who will fill seats in the case of Tech, or pick a matchup that hasn’t already occurred in the regular season in the case of Clemson. In either case, TCU will get passed on and fall to one of the bowls with the later at large picks. It’s important to keep in mind just how small a University TCU is, and as a result, how small its alumni base is. Mix in the fact that TCU historically hasn’t even sold out a bowl game in our own stadium and the fact that the “Mid-Major” bowl games usually get the lowest non-Big East TV ratings, and you have a compelling case why even a #3 TCU team isn’t as nice of an at large selection for the Orange as, say, Florida would be.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 10, 2009 7:49 AM PST up reply actions
Lets see...
Since Utah is going to beat TCU (and thus win the MWC) …
Las Vegas: Utah
Pointsettia: BYU:
Armed Forces: TCU
New Mexico: Air Force
Humanitarian: Wyoming/SDSU winner
No other teams will be bowl eligible. If TCU or Utah go to the BCS the MWC will not be able to fill their bowl agreements.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
i rather have the 19 million dollars tcu is going to bring into the conference
then get the impossible 6 teams bowl eligible. all the 4 win teams in the mwc play each other. only one can get to six wins. 5 bowl eligible will have to do. tcu 31 utah 17. espn game day for the third time at a mwc university. that is major publicity which the boise state fans see and they want part of it. their own blog is already swaying towards joining the mtn west conf. asap. it was not that way at begining of season.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 10, 2009 9:50 AM PST up reply actions
All of them could get to 6 but it's very unlikely.
UNLV has to beat AF and SDSU.
SDSU has to beat UW and Utah but then lose to UNLV.
UW has to lose to SDSU and then beat TCU and CSU.
I don’t think UNLV can beat AF this week, and SDSU v. Utah and Wyoming v. TCU are pretty much guaranteed losses. So really the only team that can get realistically eligible is the winner of the SDSU/UW game this week. Win that game and then beat a horrible UNLV (SDSU) or CSU (UW) team and you’re going bowling.
Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.
by displacedute on Nov 11, 2009 11:36 AM PST up reply actions
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