New Mexico is Last Minor Hurdle Between TCU and the BCS

by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 25, 2009 9:28 PM PST in Mountain West Football

Next Game

Saturday, Nov 28, 2009, 10:00 AM PST
Amon G. Carter Stadium

TV: The Mtn HD

This game is full of irony since all TCU has to do is beat lowly New Mexico and goes to their BCS game in school history. According to Accuscore TCU is going to win 99.9 percent of the time with an average score of 51.7 to 7.7 which is deadly accurate to the current spread which has TCU as a 45 point favorite.

The Lobos are coming off of their first win of the year and should have some confidence heading into this game, but TCU should have a sell out for this historic game and will be pumped for this game.

There is no real conceivable reason for New Mexico to win or even to hang with TCU. The Spit Bloods need style points and if TCU wants to try to inch closer to the number two spot they must keep doing what they have done all year which is pummel opponents. New Mexico has been able to move the ball the past two weeks against BYU and Colorado State, but QB Donovan Porterie will need to be an all-world talent to get anywhere near his recent production.

TCU needs to leave no doubt and get off to an early lead like they did against Utah and not what they did against Wyoming which had the game tied at ten mid way through the second quarter. The TCU rushing game should have its way against New Mexico who have the 81st rated rushing defense by giving up 161 yards per game. Expect those yards to come from all sorts of backs since TCU has no lead back but about four or five --including QB Andy Dalton-- to gain around fifty yards each.

Again, this game is literally a lock for TCU's first ever potential BCS bowl berth, so they should be focused and take out the Lobos at home in an expected sell out crowd.

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The score of this game will depend on the action that has taken place the two previous days. If TCU sees Texas fall in College Station or ‘bama bite it against Auburn, the house will be rocking at Utah levels and the players will feed off of it. If not, then it’s entirely possible NM sticks around for the first quarter or so, not letting it get out of hand until the second half, where TCU’s depth at the skill positions will enable them to punch up whatever final score they want. Good luck to the Lobos, and go frogs!

by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 25, 2009 10:45 PM PST reply actions

The concern is...

that this game will pull down TCU’s strength of schedule so much that they drop below Cincinnatti in the BCS rankings.

by Swint on Nov 26, 2009 10:53 AM PST reply actions

It won’t be that NM pulls them down so much as ‘natti beating Pitt will pull them up. Fortunately, ’natti has a sinkhole game this week against Illinois, and, although I’m putting far too much into Dave Wannstedt’s ability to win a home game, I think Pitt beats ’em next week.

by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 26, 2009 6:27 PM PST up reply actions

i agree with pitt game. cincy is like iowa getting lucky too often it's going to bite them on the azz

in last game of the season. they have big teasers cards in lake tahoe and in vegas/reno too. it’s 55 and 1/2 poingts to n.m. that is the most i have ever seen 8 td’s

yes i am obsessive, obnoxious, in your face and all about covering the spread. those are my good qualities.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 27, 2009 9:55 AM PST up reply actions