Weekly Look at the BCS Standings and Bowl Projections

With all the bad teams the top played specifically Florida International and Chattanooga who lined up as punching bags for Florida and Alabama neither dropped their computer rankings.  That assisted TCU who waxed Wyoming so they did not lose any ground on the idle Cincinnati. 

Out of the 10 BCS spots eight are accounted for with the six BCS league champs as well as the SEC runner up and TCU.  That leaves two at large spots between these seven: loser of the Pitt/Cincy game, Boise State, Georgia Tech if they lose to Clemson in ACC title game, Iowa, Oklahoma State, Penn State, and Virginia Tech.

Now, if Georgia Tech wins the ACC that list of seven at large is down to five, but Oklahoma State could easily lose to Oklahoma and thus knocking them out of a BCS game.  If Oklahoma State wins I am confident that they will go to the Fiesta Bowl as the Texas replacement in the Fiesta Bowl.  It is also safe to assume that one of the at large spots will go to Penn State and Iowa since they both are names and will travel, however a slight edge goes to Penn State.  If Oklahoma State is a replacement witht eh assumed Big 10 team that removes Boise State who will be a top five team and left out of a BCS.

My BCS bowl projections are as follows:

BCS Title Game:

Texas vs. Florida

Rose Bowl:

Ohio State vs. Oregon

Fiesta Bowl:

Boise State vs. Cincinnati

Sugar Bowl:

Alabama vs. TCU

Orange Bowl:

Georgia Tech vs. Penn State

Below is the selection process:

Fiesta and Sugar will get first pick as a replacement for losing their team to the title game.

January 2010 games: Orange, Fiesta, Sugar

I could see the possibility of a Boise State vs. TCU Fiesta if the replacement is Boise State and then the Orange Bowl will want to fill the seats and pass up TCU for Penn State and then the Fiesta would be left with Cincinatti or TCU as their only choices.