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Weekly Look at the BCS Standings and Bowl Projections

With all the bad teams the top played specifically Florida International and Chattanooga who lined up as punching bags for Florida and Alabama neither dropped their computer rankings.  That assisted TCU who waxed Wyoming so they did not lose any ground on the idle Cincinnati. 

Out of the 10 BCS spots eight are accounted for with the six BCS league champs as well as the SEC runner up and TCU.  That leaves two at large spots between these seven: loser of the Pitt/Cincy game, Boise State, Georgia Tech if they lose to Clemson in ACC title game, Iowa, Oklahoma State, Penn State, and Virginia Tech.

Now, if Georgia Tech wins the ACC that list of seven at large is down to five, but Oklahoma State could easily lose to Oklahoma and thus knocking them out of a BCS game.  If Oklahoma State wins I am confident that they will go to the Fiesta Bowl as the Texas replacement in the Fiesta Bowl.  It is also safe to assume that one of the at large spots will go to Penn State and Iowa since they both are names and will travel, however a slight edge goes to Penn State.  If Oklahoma State is a replacement witht eh assumed Big 10 team that removes Boise State who will be a top five team and left out of a BCS.

My BCS bowl projections are as follows:

Star-divide

BCS Title Game:

Texas vs. Florida

Rose Bowl:

Ohio State vs. Oregon

Fiesta Bowl:

Boise State vs. Cincinnati

Sugar Bowl:

Alabama vs. TCU

Orange Bowl:

Georgia Tech vs. Penn State

Below is the selection process:

Fiesta and Sugar will get first pick as a replacement for losing their team to the title game.

January 2010 games: Orange, Fiesta, Sugar

I could see the possibility of a Boise State vs. TCU Fiesta if the replacement is Boise State and then the Orange Bowl will want to fill the seats and pass up TCU for Penn State and then the Fiesta would be left with Cincinatti or TCU as their only choices.

 

 


BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings
RK TEAM AVG PVS RK PTS % RK PTS % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW %
1 Florida .9664 1 1 2793 .9800 1 1459 .9892 2 25 24 23 23 23 23 .930
2 Alabama .9614 2 3 2688 .9432 3 1388 .9410 1 24 25 25 25 25 25 1.000
3 Texas .9263 3 2 2711 .9512 2 1398 .9478 4 23 23 24 21 20 21 .880
4 TCU .8699 4 4 2487 .8726 4 1279 .8671 5 21 22 21 22 22 22 .870
5 Cincinnati .8591 5 5 2358 .8274 5 1224 .8298 3 22 21 22 24 24 24 .920
6 Boise State .7834 6 6 2307 .8095 6 1181 .8007 7 19 20 18 18 18 19 .740
7 Georgia Tech .7756 7 7 2178 .7642 7 1125 .7627 6 20 19 20 20 21 20 .800
8 Oregon .6724 11 10 1822 .6393 10 941 .6380 7 18 18 19 19 19 18 .740
9 Pittsburgh .6638 9 9 1907 .6691 9 1021 .6922 9 16 11 17 16 15 16 .630
10 Ohio State .6523 10 8 1989 .6979 8 1031 .6990 11 15 17 16 12 8 13 .560
11 Iowa .5245 13 13 1423 .4993 13 714 .4841 10 17 16 15 11 11 17 .590
12 Oklahoma State .5134 12 12 1561 .5477 12 815 .5525 14 14 13 13 8 4 10 .440
13 Penn State .4992 14 11 1613 .5660 11 843 .5715 18 13 14 12 6 1 5 .360
14 Virginia Tech .4748 15 14 1196 .4195 14 656 .4447 11 12 1 14 17 16 14 .560
15 LSU .3650 8 16 915 .3211 17 463 .3139 13 11 10 10 10 17 15 .460
16 Oregon State .3140 19 18 789 .2768 18 450 .3051 18 8 9 6 15 10 9 .360
17 Miami (FL) .2777 20 21 606 .2126 21 266 .1803 14 9 2 11 14 13 11 .440
18 Clemson .2631 23 17 891 .3126 16 467 .3166 22 3 0 4 5 7 4 .160
19 Brigham Young .2623 22 15 972 .3411 15 510 .3458 23 4 7 3 0 0 3 .100
20 USC .2589 18 22 598 .2098 22 261 .1769 16 10 6 8 9 14 12 .390
21 Utah .2353 21 19 770 .2702 19 318 .2156 21 5 15 5 2 5 7 .220
22 California .2033 25 23 396 .1389 26 149 .1010 17 7 8 9 13 12 8 .370
23 Houston .1461 24 20 631 .2214 20 305 .2068 27 0 0 1 0 0 1 .010
24 North Carolina .1443 NR 26 199 .0698 24 167 .1132 20 2 5 7 7 9 6 .250
25 Mississippi .0840 NR 25 285 .1000 25 165 .1119 24 0 12 0 4 0 0 .040

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I'm sorry but...

…Florida at #1 is the biggest JOKE in the history of the BCS. ONE top25 BARELY over an overrated LSU team that just lost to Mississippi. Sheesh.

Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 22, 2009 5:21 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

also Carolina doesn't deserve to be in the top 25

their offense can’t even score points. all but 2 of their touchdowns against BC came off interception returns and even when the offense was in the red-zone they had to settle for a field goal after an INT return. They are pitiful

Gerald Wallace is the best player the Bobcats will have..... EVER

by raysfan81 on Nov 22, 2009 5:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i've got a really good feeling that nebraska is going to beat texas

tcu did creep close in points. a texas lose in the big 12 cg puts them below tcu. then all we need is pitt to beat cincy. cincy has been skating by like iowa i like pitts chances too. the next two weeks will be fun. tcu vs n.m 36 and 1/2 points. the point spread.

yes i am obsessive, obnoxious, in your face and all about covering the spread. those are my good qualities.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 23, 2009 12:28 PM PST reply actions   0 recs


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