The biggest game in the MWC this weekend that everyone will be watching is Utah and TCU, but the second biggest game in the MWC this weekend will be Wyoming at San Diego State. With Utah, BYU, TCU, and Air Force locking up bowl berths, likely only one more MWC team will be bowl eligible.
This game will most likely determine who that fifth and final team will be. Both teams are coming off blowouts by the hands of one of the big three; Wyoming by BYU and San Diego State by TCU. Both teams have identical records and need to win 2 of their last 3 to finish at .500 and have bowl eligibility. After this weekend, both teams have a game against one of the big 3 and a game against one of the bottom 3. Wyoming is vs. TCU and @ CSU, San Diego State is @ Utah and @ UNLV. Since nobody excepts Utah or TCU to lose, this is a must win game for both teams and that is why it is the second biggest MWC game this week.
Wyoming has a weapon in QB Austyn Carta-Samuels and will need to use him to their advantage on Saturday. The Aztecs are still learning Rocky Long's 3-3-5 defense and haven't yet faced a mobile type QB like Carta-Samuels yet this season. The already suspect Aztec defense will likely have trouble with him, especially if Wyoming can complement him with a running game. However, Wyoming will have to step it up on offense if they want to win. SDSU's defense is awful, but BYU's strength is definitely NOT their defense; getting shut-out at home against BYU cannot be good for your offensive moral.
I'm positive coach Dave Christensen will have the Cowboys ready to play but SDSU was able to put up 28 points and the Cougars and 12 points on a TCU team that had allowed almost that same amount (13) in its last three games combined. This game is most likely going to be a shootout and the Cowboys will have to outscore the Aztecs on offense to win.
San Diego State is also coming off an embarrassing home loss, the Aztecs to TCU. The defense still cannot stop anybody, especially on the ground. Against teams other than the big 3 however, they will still give up yards but are competent enough in the 3-3-5 to be able to make some big turnovers and sacks. They will have to adjust to stop Carta-Samuels though. Even without star WR Vincent Brown, Ryan Lindley is still racking up the yards and touchdowns and tied the MWC record last week for most consecutive games with a TD pass.
In the absence of Brown, Lindley's favorite targets have become WR Demarco Sampson and TE Alston Umuolo. The Aztecs air attack is among the best in the nation, but the running attack is among the worst in the nation. Surprisingly though, RB Brandon Sullivan is finally healthy and had probably his best game of the season last Saturday against TCU. The offensive line also played surprising well on pass and run blocking. Brady Hoke will have them ready to play but a lack of spectators deprive the Aztecs of a real home-field advantage; who knows if this will affect the players or not.
Like I said, I'm going to predict a shootout. Both teams have equal records and probably pretty similar talent levels. I'd probably say that SDSU has the better offense and Wyoming has the better defense so it will come out pretty evenly. My prediction is that Ryan Lindley's pass attack will be too much for Wyoming to handle and the Aztecs will come out on top in the seniors last home game of their careers. Aztecs win 35-27.