Mountain West Conference To Expand and Add Boise State, Fresno and Nevada?
Lee "Hacksaw" Hamilton —a talk radio host in San Diego— is reporting huge news out of Washington DC.
These rumors are everywhere out of the nations capital. There are negotiations between the people for the BCS, as well as the Mountain West Conference. If the Mountain West wants to get a guaranteed spot in the BCS, they must expand. The expansion would include Boise State, Nevada-Reno and Fresno State. Make it a power twelve team conference.
If it were guaranteed that they would get an auto-bid the MWC would pull the trigger in a heartbeat. It is interesting that they are talking about expanding to 12 teams, to have a championship game. Maybe ESPN knows about this, and are is negotiations to broadcast the league once they expand? (If they expand) Which could explain all the added publicity that they are giving the league. This is pure speculation though.
Adding Fresno State would help the MWC enter the Northern California market, and Boise State would certainly add more competition. What's interesting is that Nevada is a possibility. Maybe they are looking at them for basketball reasons? I would expect Houston to be their third team.
If these rumors are true, look for expansion to happen in the summer of 2010, by July 1st. That is the deadline for the teams to play in the league in 2011, the final year of the BCS evaluation period.
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Just for the record
I wouldn’t give much credence to what Hamilton says.
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by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 11, 2009 8:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'm guessing your from San Deigo
Whats he all about?
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 8:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He's a controversial character.
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 11, 2009 9:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I would rather have Houston than Nevada
Moves the MWC more into the Texas Market, gives TCU a traveling partner and they are a better football school.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 8:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
True
Houston is emerging as a good football team, plus they are a better fit with TCU in traveling with basketball and the other minor sports.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 11, 2009 8:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
something is happening behind the scene's at espn headquarter's
they have never gone to fort worth. they are giving tcu the royal treatment (which they deserve) i even think the other six aq bcs conferences want this because how many times can you hear bcs buster before you head explodes if your jim delaney, john swofford, mike slive and dan beebe. then they can schedule the mwc and give home and homes without in their minds be penalized for a loss (to be out of the ncg race) i say it will happen sooner than later.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 11, 2009 10:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Houston is Conf-USA, though, and this appears to be a deal between WAC and MWC. If you are talking about doing more than just taking the top teams from another conference to make 12 teams, then you might want to go the extra step and say, drop the Lobos for the Golden Hurricane. Sure, Tulsa is struggling this year, but two of their losses are a 7-point loss to Boise State, and a 1-point loss to Houston. Since 2005 they have had 8+ wins every year, they’ve beaten BYU (11-2 that year), Houston (8-5 year, but still can keep it competitive), Fresno State (8-5 year), Navy (9-4) and a 12-1 (12-2 after that game) Ball State crew.
Year-in and year-out, Tulsa is a dangerous opponent and is able to play the top mid-conference teams. If you are merging some of those top teams together, Tulsa deserves to be in that mix. In fact, if you compare Houston and Tulsa the last four years (excluding this year, Tulsa has a higher winning percentage, more total wins, and overall better seasons (Worst season was 8-5, while Houston had a 6-6 season. 11-3 best for Tulsa plus 10-4, and 10-4 for Houston and 8-5 as their second best.)
This season looks to be Houston’s season, though, and I can see them at 12-1 going into a bowl game (Although if they lose a game between now and the Conf-USA CG, and SMU can run the table, SMU would take their place in the CG, as they are both 4-1 in the conference.)
by BrotherGrymm on Nov 14, 2009 5:50 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Bad timing to be bad for Tulsa
The only seasons that matter are 2008,2009,2010&2011. The primary reason and 11th & 12th team will be added is to boost the final regular-season rankings during these 4 years since BCS will add a 7th conference based on 1)highest ranked team 2)# of top 25 teams 3)final regular-season rankings.
With the other advantages Houston has (see my Houston is committed to building a good program post below) they would have to be quite a bit better then Houston. The last 2 regular seasons = Houston 17&6 / Tulsa 14&9. i just don’t see Tulsa being 2-3 wins better then Houston the next 2 years to get far enough ahead of them to make a difference.
by patrick r on Dec 24, 2009 8:41 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Houston is committed to building a good program
They have approved a 38 million expansion to their small stadium and the only thing holding it back is the new AD is looking into building a brand new stadium instead. Combined with good finishes the last 2 years (all that matters to BCS), top 10 TV market, huge recruiting market, natural rival with TCU and Nevada has no chance.
by patrick r on Dec 24, 2009 8:03 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Fresno State...
Really doesn’t give you much of the NorCal market. To the San Francisco Bay Area media market, the Bulldogs might as well not exist.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 8:48 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I might add...
That’s not because there’s anything bad about Fresno, but NorCal already has two Pac-10 schools, and that’s pretty much all the college ball anyone cares about.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 8:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
However
More recruiting there then Nevada which is why Houston should be considered.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 11, 2009 8:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
With BCS money
and exposure maybe they can build their program up and gain some fans in Northern Cali.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 8:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Not likely.
Fresno is too far away from the Bay Area for the media there to pay attention to. It’s a whole separate media market – and a much smaller one, obviously. You’re not going to be able to get Fresno State home games televised on any of the Bay Area metro stations, for example.
Nobody’s going to drive from the Bay Area to Fresno for college football when they can stay home and watch Cal or Stanford.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 8:57 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's 200 miles...
from San Francisco to Fresno. “Northern California” is a pretty big area.
Fresno’s more usually classified as “Central California.”
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 8:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Other than Boise State and Houston is there a better candidate than Fresno?
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 8:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's FBS right now? Probably not.
You’d be getting a power in baseball, too.
But, Houston would be a much better market candidate. You’re already adding a small-market team in Boise and a fairly small-market team in Reno. Getting presence in Houston would be huge.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 9:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The domino effect...
The WAC would probably immediately extend invites to Montana, Montana State and UC Davis.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 9:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This would kill the WAC
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 9:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
They would need to either get FCS schools or get C-USA schools.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 11, 2009 9:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kill the WAC? That's silly.
There’s still schools that need an FBS conference out here. Places like Utah State, Idaho and Hawaii are not going to drop down to FCS and there aren’t any other options. So the WAC isn’t going to die.
It’ll just be like the last time around, raid the Big Sky again.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 12, 2009 9:50 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't mean literally "kill it"
Just drop it down to the level of the MAC or Sun Belt
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 12, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I personally only want Boise State
But, If they are looking for a conference championship game then add Houston also. The rest is a tough decision.
If it were to result in an automatic bid I would be looking for exposure more than competition.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 9:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Houston
Would be huge because then The Mtn. would be on DirectTv and comcast in Houston which just happens to be the 4th largest city in the US. While the Cougars are not huge in town I am from that area and there is a large amount of BYU, Utah, and TCU fans in the area.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 11, 2009 9:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That can really help push the MWC south
adding Houston and Tulsa would really help teams like Utah who recruit Texas heavily.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 9:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Memphis
Far away? Sure. Shitty at football? Yes. But its a relatively large metro area (at least, bigger than Fresno, right?), and perhaps they will still be awesome at basketball even given the coach taking off.
by killtacular on Nov 11, 2009 11:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
fresno has a population of almost 500,000 and over 900,000 in the county. thats not to mention the other counties that make up central Cal…over 2 million.
by FresNO on Nov 13, 2009 5:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I assumed Boise
But adding Nevada and Fresno as well? I would rather have Houston and then decide between Fresno and Tulsa. Also, whats up with this news coming from DC?
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 11, 2009 8:53 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
maybe senator Hatch?
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 8:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The bigger question is...
Doesn’t this push the conference back to some of the same instability issues that caused the old-school WAC to implode in the first place?
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 11, 2009 9:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
12 seems to be a fairly solid number.
I would prefer 10, but the exposure of a conference championship game is definitely a bonus.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 11, 2009 9:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think we deserve an auto-bid as it is.
But if it gets us to where we want to be, so be it.
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 11, 2009 9:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Whatever it takes so that our conference champion has a legitimate shot at the BCS title game. I would recommend Houston, Fresno State, Boise State and SMU. For the first time in a long time the Ponies appear to be on the upswing and bring in the Dallas market as well as natural rivalries with Houston and TCU, as well as getting the Ponies reacquainted with BYU who they staged an all time classic with.
With three Texas teams, I believe recruiting would open up not only for football, but for Basketball as well.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 11, 2009 9:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nevada, really?
Houston makes so much more sense, for all the reasons already stated. Don’t know about having two Cougars in the same conference though…
by JollyWaffle on Nov 11, 2009 9:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Sounds like a trophy game waiting to happen, to me.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 11, 2009 10:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
SInce we are talking rumors - how bout I start another one
Houston, SMU, and TUlsa a enot being considered, becasue Conf USA is also going to strengthen and there will be 2 more BCS conferences. Notre Dame will be forced to join a conference. Army and Navy will join the Big Least.
All BCS conferences except Pac 10 and Big 10 will go to a 12 team format with a playoff.
You heard it here – and yes I made it up – but it would make sense. Better yet take all to a 12 team format by adding Hawaii and NM State to the PAC 10 and Notre Dame to the BIg 10.
Go Cougs
by Cougarbib on Nov 11, 2009 10:33 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
hawaii and new nexico state to pac-ten. they have more of a chance to fall to fcs classifcation
before that happens. i do agree that all the independents will be in bcs conferences. n.d. will goto big ten.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 12, 2009 9:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Take with a grain of salt from a Boise fan, but...
Houston needs to be a little more consistent before we lump them in with the likes of Boise State and the MWC big 3…1 great year in the last 30 means nothing (last one being in 1979 11-1)…so let’s hold our horses on Houston…for God’s sake, with this logic, we should bring SMU back! Remember, it wasn’t that long ago that Miami (Ohio) was "good"!
If playing in blue uniforms on a blue field is an unfair advantage, then isn't wearing green uniforms on a green field also an unfair advantage?
by TheShrewdOne on Nov 11, 2009 11:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nah
Houston would be the dominant university in the 4th largest metro area in the country, not to mention a part of the country that is insane for high school football. If Houston decided to put up money for their facilities, and had access to BCS conference money, they could easily be as competitive as anyone in the MWC, if not more so. (If its history you want, just remember back in 1990 when Houston was putting up Heisman candidates … kinda like now).
by killtacular on Nov 11, 2009 11:57 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
“If houston decided to put up money for their facilities”…being that they are in the market that they are in…and they are so insane for football as you say…why don’t they? Why aren’t they now as competitive as Boise State or anyone in the MWC being that they are in the market that they are in? CUSA is the same kind of conference that the WAC and MWC both are. That is kind of my point…being where they are, they SHOULD be dominating all the “Non-AQ’s” but they aren’t…why, I don’t know…poor leadership…being out-recruited by bigger teams in the area and their rivals…lack of desire…who knows.
I would also point out that even while putting up A Heisman candidate/winner (Andre Ware in 1989), they were in a dominate conference with Texas…why they were relegated to CUSA, I don’t know…probably the same reason Texas wasn’t allowed into the PAC-10…pure stupidity.
If playing in blue uniforms on a blue field is an unfair advantage, then isn't wearing green uniforms on a green field also an unfair advantage?
by TheShrewdOne on Nov 12, 2009 12:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I could explain the breakup of the Southwest Conference in some detail, but I don’t think anyone here is particularly interested (the Frogs know the story, other fans don’t care), but dismissing Houston because they haven’t been in the BCS discussion every year is a bit short sighted. What Houston is and has been is a consistent bowl team, winning CUSA West every other year or so, as well as a nice media/recruiting market. Having a rich basketball history helps perception of this new conference as well.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 12, 2009 4:13 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
HawkeyedFrog
I know all too well about the SWC break up from living in Houston growing up. The reason Houston is not great is that the fan base their is a joke and UH is mainly a commuter school. Plus, there are more Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas A&M alums in Houston so the Cougars are not well represented.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:27 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
As a TCU fan, I know the exact situation, except in many cases even the TCU alums are more interested in watching what the Horns and Aggies are up to than getting into Amon Carter to support the Frogs. Being part of an Automatic Qualifier would help boost Houston’s popularity a good bit I would imagine, though.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 12, 2009 6:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Whould SMU fans know the story?
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by utesfan100 on Nov 12, 2009 10:10 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They certainly should, yes. All of the SWC teams apart from Arkansas would be familiar with it. The Big 8 wanted to expand and take Texas and A&M. The Texas Governor ruled that UT and A&M couldn’t leave the SWC unless Texas Tech and Baylor (The Governor was a Baylor alum) were allowed in as well. The Big 8 acquiesced and TCU/Houston/SMU/Rice were left to wander the non-BCS landscape ever since. And we all have a deeply bitter grudge against Tech and (particularly) Baylor that will likely last longer than any who remember this story.
Damn, told the SWC breakup story anyway. Also Arkansas bolted for the SEC, because almost every other team in the SWC was on probation, putting the conference’s bowl alliances in disarray.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 12, 2009 6:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If I remember correctly...
some pay for play scandals played a part as well in teams wantign to leave the SWC’s tarnished image.
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by utesfan100 on Nov 16, 2009 6:34 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, there's...
…two big reasons UH isn’t spending like a fiend on everything in sight – although I think one could argue that they are doing what they can given the resources at hand like relatively recent renovations to Robertson Stadium, intelligent decision-making on major coaching hires, etc – and those reasons are:
Texas.
Texas A&M.
The major programs in Texas dominate the major markets. Just peruse the “college” pages of the Houston Chronicle or DMN on-line. The majority of the coverage, which one could reasonably argue demonstrates public interest, is on those two programs.
UH may be getting more publicity now given their tremendous run and recent success, but generally folks are Texas or A&M fans (at least in Houston). Not to mention the Cowboys and the Texans – problems not many MWC teams have at the moment.
And I think I’d look a bit more carefully at the tale of the last decade at UH. Briles period there was almost uniformly successful with bowls and winning records, so it’s not like you’re talking about La Tech or anything.
HBTD
by Gen. Stoopnagle on Nov 12, 2009 9:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Houston could replace A&M
What has A&M done recently, really?
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by utesfan100 on Nov 12, 2009 10:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Umm, because currently that football fandom gets diverted to UT or A&M, the pros, or HS?
As for why they’ve dropped off recently, see the SWC breakup, but they’ve been consistently decent (if not spectacular) for a while.
by killtacular on Nov 12, 2009 4:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Houston is not on the level of Boise, TCU, Utah, or BYU. But they are on the upswing in their program and as far I as I can tell will be competitive for the next few years with those schools.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:24 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
SMU
They are an albatross, Houston is good now and has been improving over the last five years when they had Kevin Kolb at QB and Art Briles. Plus Houston is decent at hoops, and the market size is HUGE which is a benefit.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:25 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
definitely not smu, but houston has large media market and they did have a heisman winner in andre ware
i think. case keenum is going to break every single season record in ncaa division history. he has passed for around 2000 yards in just his last 4 games. 3, 500 plus passing yards with his top game at 559. houston is doing the right thing in trying to get him to nyc for the presentation. he won’t win it but it’s still a reward for a mid major team. if texas goes undefeated colt mccoy will win it.
by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 12, 2009 9:51 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Houston hasn't had a losing season since 2004
and they’ve won at least 8 games in each of the last five seasons (2009 included), including a 10 win season in 2006. How many current MWC teams can say that?
by rugman11 on Nov 12, 2009 9:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
San Jose St
would get them into the Bay Area television market. The Spartans have a terrible football team. They could be considered if we are talking markets.
Nevada makes sense because they would have a natural rival with UNLV.
UTEP would fit geographically and is in Texas which is always nice. Plus they could help bring in the Sun Bowl as a MWC bowl.
I think it is smart for the Mountain West to take the first strike and expand first before other leagues grab teams and prevent us from adding teams we want.
by The Road on Nov 11, 2009 11:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
San Jose State???
Yeah…they’ve really helped out the WAC!!! I guess they kind of have as far as recruiting, but it’s the SOS that we’re all trying to fix…which they definitely don’t…plus you already have SDSU…and if you add Fresno…I think that would be enough as far as recruiting the Golden State (granted only SDSU has the “market” of a Houston or SJSU…but we’ve also seen how that 3 million man market has “helped” the MWC).
UTEP was already tried and thrown out…back in the original WAC days, weren’t they? I could be wrong there…but I’m pretty sure they were in the WAC even when Boise State moved into the conference…with SMU and TCU (before you stole them back!).
If playing in blue uniforms on a blue field is an unfair advantage, then isn't wearing green uniforms on a green field also an unfair advantage?
by TheShrewdOne on Nov 12, 2009 12:35 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
San Jose State...
is ignored by the local media and has no strength in the market. It’s sandwiched between two Pac-10 schools with far more tradition and success.
There’s really no room in the Bay Area for more college football. It’s like the F_U schools… sure, they have FBS football, but does anyone care? Hell no, not with the Hurricanes right there.
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 12, 2009 9:52 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You mean like SDSU give us the Southern California market?
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by utesfan100 on Nov 12, 2009 10:01 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
UTEP
actually makes sense. They are a rival to New Mexico, and would be a travel partner to TCU or New Mexico. It also would give the MTN West the most seating for a bowl game.
Nevada: Everyone is dismissing, but when the Mtn West was formed, I guess the one team that seemed to get mentioned was Nevada. They are a natural rival to UNLV, and are also a rival of sorts to Col. State.
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 11:51 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You add Houston for the recruiting
Some have argued that we should slow down the Houston talk because they have only had one good year, while there is some legitimacy to that, the reason you add Houston is for recruiting and further opening the Texas market. Utah recruits Houston and Texas as a whole like crazy, being able to tell a recruit they can come back and play in their home town would make a difference. Also, just playing in Houston would raise conference awareness.
As for expansion, for whatever reason, I am completely against adding Fresno. I know they play the big boys (and always lose) and they have a great Baseball team, but who cares? Fresno sucks and they really bring nothing. At the same time I really favor adding Nevada. They have decent Fball team, a good BBall team, would create a great rivalry in Nevada with UNLV (and maybe get some fan interest in UNLV). Sure Reno is a hole, and they offer nothing recruiting wise, but I like ’em.
The two no-brainers to me are Boise State and Houston. That should have been done yesterday (if we do want to go to Twelve teams, I actually would prefer just adding Boise and staying with 10 teams).
For the Twelfth teams, my ideas in preferred order are:
1) Convince Colorado to ditch the Big-12 (not a chance, but how great would an annual Utah-Colorado meeting be!, I might like that more than playing BYU each year)
2) Add Nevada or SMU (natural TCU rival, more texas is good, historically solid program before the death sentence)
3) Add Montana from Div 1-AA
4) Do nothing and add no teams
5) Add Fresno or San Jose State
by Swint on Nov 12, 2009 4:11 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Houston
I have been on the Houston train for a couple of years and everyone shrugged me off, until the last 8 months or so. Houston is a good fit and is Boise. Then I would contend either Tulsa or Nevada.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Fresno plays the big boys (and always lose)??
Maybe you should check the facts before you make up your mind. Fresno has beat Georgia Tech X2, UCLA, USC, & Virginia in bowl games and Rutgers, UCLA, Washington, Kansas st. X2, Oregon st. in regular season play….so they haven’t lost them ALL…
by FresNO on Nov 13, 2009 6:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Tulsa
Sure it is a smaller market, but being in a BCS conference could help their enrollment/financial stuff enough to invest in new facilities and draw in more recruits. Tulsa already has been far more successful in the last five years than Houston, excluding this year. I think Houston is the better fit, but I think adding Tulsa should be ahead of some of those options.
As much as SMU seems to be a logical opponent and all, they haven’t competed for anything since 1985. Sorry, but only one winning season in 25 years isn’t what the MWC needs. Over the last 10 years, SMU is sitting at around .250% winning percentage. This will be the first year they go to a bowl (If they can win another game) in a VERY long time. I certainly think that it would drastically improve the SMU program, but, how much and how fast can’t be known.
by BrotherGrymm on Nov 14, 2009 6:22 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If I may add:
Getting the BCS AQ is a matter of the aggregate scores of all the conference teams. The way it’s structured, it’s very difficult to make it if you have too many teams on the bottom end acting as anchors. As things stand at the moment, Colorado State, UNLV, and San Diego State are the biggest aggregate anchors on the conference, with Wyoming and New Mexico not far off. Their total deficit is nearly impossible for the remainder of the conference to overcome.
The purely Macchiavellian approach to getting the AQ (if the MWC could actually do this) would be to eject out from the bottom end at the same time that they add to the top. Add Boise, remove SDSU. Add Fresno, remove UNLV, or whatever. They could numerically force their way in that way.
But since they can’t just up and kick teams out (so far as I understand), simply adding quality points may not be enough. So it may be a decision of whether to go for the short-term value for a chance at AQ, or try to pick up teams that will make sense in a longer term. With a team like Boise, the decision is easy. But some of the other options on the table may take some thought.
I’m trying to be a bit vague about it because I don’t have the numbers in front of me. (It’s worth understanding the BCS evaluation metric if you’re a MWC fan, though.) But after a conference picks up its BCS points from the top end (i.e. end-of-season rankings), look to the bottom end to see whether the conference has a chance.
I may be at Tennessee for grad school, but I grew up in Wyoming, got my bachelor’s there, and pull for the MWC whenever I can. At this point, I no longer care which team it is; if they’re in a nonconference game, I want them to win. The MWC has to grab every quality point they can.
by Hooper on Nov 12, 2009 5:12 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
hmmm
I think adding Boise would be enough because last year they were a top 10 in the BCS, and this year should be top 5. I do not see them falling off next year either, then the 4th year in the BCS cycle they would be in the MWC and should be a top 15 team because of tougher competition.
I think having four teams in the top 25 BCS seasons end for four straight years (because Boisse’s stats count) would be enough.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And since that first one was long, here's my thought on why teams haven't been invited yet.
Timing is everything. When the BCS re-evaluates, their bylaws state that it doesn’t matter which conference a team is with when it earns value. A team’s points belong to the team, not the conference. (Call it the ACC/Big East rule.) It also takes one year after accepting an invite before a team is considered a conference member.
If the MWC offers at the right time, then Boise, etc. will earn their quality points against WAC teams but count for the MWC. They won’t have to beat MWC teams to gain those points, which means that the MWC gets points for free. If Boise were a part of the conference today, then every win against Wyoming, UNLV, etc. would only hurt those teams while helping Boise – a null effect of sorts.
I firmly believe there’s an under-the-table deal in place between Boise and the MWC for this reason. That, and I believe the WAC is screwed. (Serves ’em right for blowing up the old WAC.)
by Hooper on Nov 12, 2009 5:17 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
This summer
That is why at least Boise will get the invite this summer, so that those WAC stats count toward MWC and BCS evaluation.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If the BCS automatic qualificatiosn are the primary drivers
(as these reports would indicate) then the three criteria used by the BCS to determine future automatic qualifications should be used to measure teams.
So who are the top teams from outside the BCS automatic qualifications base on these measures over the past 4 years (the window the BCS uses)?
1) Boise State
2) TCU
3) Utah
4) BYU
5) Hawaii
6) Houston
After this the next group are very dense and indistinguishable:
7) Central Michigan
8) Air Force
9) East Carolina
10) Troy
11) Tulsa
12) Nevada
13) Ball State
14) Fresno State
15) Western Michigan
16) Southern Mississippi
Boise State is an obvious asset. The MWC should expand to 10 this summer.
Hawaii may be a one hit wonder and 2007 will roll off the BCS window before the next evaluation. This year they are performing far worse than the “Air Force” pack. They also add travel costs that would rival any increase in BCS revenue.
Houston has been consistently equal to those in the pack behind them and this year are at a significantly higher level. Even if this is just a blip, it is a blip that would count in the next evaluation period. TV market share, a travel partner for TCU and increased presence in Texas for recruiting are some of the other intangibles that make Houtson a viable candidate if 12 is the number. Other than scheduling issues, 11 might be a good number.
If we rule out all teams from states that don’t boarder a state with a MWC team, we are left with the following list of nearly equal teams from a BCS perspective: Tulsa, Nevada and Fresno State. My question is, does the MWC really need another Air Force?
Adding one of these teams would allow the MWC to add a championship game which could bring in more revenue than any two of the MWC’s existing guaranteed bowl bids.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Nov 12, 2009 7:24 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Then the fun of drawing up division lines begins! Hopefully we can do a better job than the ACC did.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 12, 2009 8:11 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah ...
Save that for the offseason so my blog will have content
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Nov 12, 2009 9:58 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Add another Air Force...
…I am assuming you’re referring to Tulsa, Nevada and Fresno State. I would say YES. I’d rather have 2 or 3 Air Forces added, and scrap a school like Wyoming and CSU. That makes the BOTTOM feeders in our league at least decent. Then adding a BSU to the mix, that strengthens the top. That makes the MWC stronger from top to bottom. Also FSU and Nevada are both solid in hoops and would help strengthen the conference in that regard too.
by Smills91 on Nov 13, 2009 4:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t see how CMU gets more points than Tulsa. Same with Houston. Other than THIS season.
Besides the top 4 listed, Hawai’i has the most sustained success over the last decade, followed by Fresno State, Tulsa, and Houston. Hawai’i lost it’s success when Colt Brennan and June Jones left. Sorry, but Greg Alexander was a terrible fill-in to replace Brennan, and Alexander is still the best QB on the team. Fresno State doesn’t have any great seasons over the last decade, unlike the other three I listed they don’t even have a 10-win season. But they don’t have losing seasons, and a lot of 9-win ones (Hawai’i has a 10-, 11-, and 12-win season, along with a 9-win.). After that, Tulsa has had better success in recent years than Houston, although Houston is having a great year so far.
by BrotherGrymm on Nov 14, 2009 6:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Another opinion
My 3 would be:
Boise (but that’s a no-brainer, since I’m a Bronco fan)
Houston (TCU rival, solid program)
Nevada (UNLV rival, recent history with Boise for continuity, not top team but never truly bad)
Anyway, I hope to see you guys in conference games sooner rather than later.
by Cougarflounder on Nov 12, 2009 7:48 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
The other consideration:
How will bowl allegiances change? You’d have to think that, if the MWC gets only Boise, that one or two of the WAC bowls would look around for better deals. If the MWC grabs more, it could get quite interesting.
Outside the BCS, having Utah, BYU, Boise, and TCU all in the same conference is enough to pretty much guarantee at least two high-quality teams available for any game (along with well-traveling fans).
by Hooper on Nov 12, 2009 10:02 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps
the MWC could get back into the Holiday Bowl, Sun Bowl or actually improve the Vegas bowl for their second team; assuming that the MWC would get an auto bid.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
For those talking about dropping SDSU.
1. It’s never going to happen; Southern California has more football talent than anywhere else in the country and is a huge market.
2. As soon as SDSU finds a coach that can start getting some of that talent to stay, (which we already have 4 star recruits from San Diego making early commits and Brady Hoke is one hell of a recruiter), we have the money, facilities, and fan base to compete with the big 3 very soon (we already gave BYU a run for their money one season after going 2-10).
So stop hatin’ and forget about it because you will eat your words soon, I guarantee it.
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by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 12, 2009 10:37 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I would agree with this.
SDSU has had some very good years in the recent past. They can certainly do it again.
And FTR, I certainly don’t advocate their removal. My discussion earlier was purely a hypothetical about the most short-term, high-percentage way to get that BCS AQ. I think it would be a long-term mistake, but finding a way to drop off the negatives would help the odds in 2011.
by Hooper on Nov 12, 2009 10:59 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wyoming
or UNLV would be dropped first then SDSU. UNLV was in the Big West till 1996 while SDSU has been with the WAC/MWC members for a long time.
Plus its nearly impossible to kick someone out of the league.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 11:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This.
Plus its nearly impossible to kick someone out of the league.
The hypothetical is good for understanding the process, but not realistic. But still, even with these additions, the MWC’s top end will be the rival of any conference in the country while the bottom end will be a liability. Upticks by Wyoming, CSU, etc. in nonconference play are a must next year.
by Hooper on Nov 12, 2009 12:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If I had to make a list of teams
to get the MWC to 12 teams and a Conf. Title game, I’d pick n order:
1) Boise St. (this one seems obvious)
2) Nevada. (good football program, old WAC ties to UNLV and Col. St)
3) UTEP (Tie to New Mexico, tie to West Texas recruiting, and would bring the Sun Bowl, which has been around since 1935)
4) Fresno St (fits geographically especially if Nevada is added. They at least have a national reputation and name, even if the program hasn’t done anything in awhile)
5) Houston (ok, I’m not crazy about this one as others here, as I don’t think it fits geographically, and I’m not sure they aren’t a one year flash. They are a small private school, and not important in their own market, even if it’s a big one. there is neither a mountain there, nor in the west)
6) Idaho, Utah St, New Mexico St, Northern Colorado, Montana and/or Montana St. (they fit geographically, which I think is the number one issue for a stable conference)
The Mountain West needs a bowl game. One that’s been around for some time, and one in or near the Mtn West Region. One that could step up a level to a New Year’s day time game like the Gator Bowl level. That is what I think the Sun Bowl could be. El Paso and the Big Bend area is really very nice place to be in the winter time.
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 12:13 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I guess I would put Hawaii
in there too, after Houston, but before the smaller schools from the region.
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No Hawaii
All your schools will have to shell out $$$ to travel there, and your doormat schools won’t make that $$$ back by the extra home game.
by Cougarflounder on Jan 5, 2010 10:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why are you sure UTEP would bring the Sun Bowl?
The Sun Bowl doesn’t have anything to do with UTEP. It’s a Pac-10/Big 12 bowl. If they’re not taking C-USA teams now, why would they suddenly switch to take MWC teams?
by JoeVandalFTW on Nov 12, 2009 12:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The Sun Bowl
right now, doesn’t have a regional tie in, besides having an Option for a Big 12 school (pac-10 on one side vs Big XII, a Big East, or Notre Dame), but if they had a Mountain West school that played it’s games in that stadium, and was the actual owner of the stadium, I would think there would be a natural fit for the Sun Bowl to take a Mountain West school.
It wouldn’t take much to be the best Non-BCS bowl for a Mtn West team, over the Las Vegas bowl, which just doesn’t hold enough or has the tradition of the Sun Bowl. I would “assume” if the Mtn West gets an automatic BCS qualifying position, then all the teams start to look bigger and better, and there would be a need for bigger more prestigious bowl for the number 2 team to go to, and while the Sun Bowl is not there now, I can see them getting there.
How does Pac-10 #3 team vs the Mountain West #2 team on New Year’s day sound?
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 12:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They are a small private school, and not important in their own market, even if it’s a big one. there is neither a mountain there, nor in the west)
No, in fact they are a large public school, albeit mostly a commuter one and not all that important in their market. Perhaps you are thinking of Rice.
by killtacular on Nov 12, 2009 4:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
nope, I was just wrong
Houston wasn’t part of the Texas system at first, which maybe where I got that.
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 4:52 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nevada
Was in the WAC during the terrible 16 team league which was only a few years.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The “No Mountains, not in the West” would apply to TCU as well, but I don’t think it would be conducive to exclude them to save the conference’s name. My guess is this new conference would likely change its name to the “Big West”, because every major conference loves the word “Big” in their name. Also look forward to the Big Pac-10 and Big SEC, coming in 2011.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 12, 2009 6:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Big West
Is taken, for FCS football and NCAA hoops.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 7:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And ruin the ESS-EEE-CEE!!!! chants everybody else has to put up with at bowl games?
Not a chance. ;-)
by Hooper on Nov 12, 2009 8:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The issue with adding teams,
is that the vast majority of non-BCS schools are a net detriment to their conferences. From 2005-2008 the only non-BCS schools who made a net contribution to their conferences (counting all four years and not including the MWC) are Boise, Hawaii, Navy, Tulsa, and Central Michigan. Other schools have had good seasons (Houston in 2006, UCF in 2007, and Ball State in 2008), but those five schools are the only ones to put up positive numbers according to the BCS formula for the last four years combined. You can’t just add any team and make the conference better. If the MWC wants an automatic bid, they need to be very selective. An MWC with Boise State would have been Big 10-caliber last season, but it still wouldn’t have qualified for an auto bid because the BCS looks at several seasons at a time. I know there is a lot of optimism, but I think it will be very difficult for the MWC to earn an auto-bid (under the current formula) without jettisoning the dead weight.
by rugman11 on Nov 12, 2009 1:34 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
well, if the rumor is
1) The Mtn West is adding schools to get to a magic formula on some BCS point scale to join the BCS, then you are right.
2) However, as I read it/heard it, the fix is in, and the deal cut. Take, Boise St, and two other schools, get a Conference Championship game, and the Mtn West is in the BCS. Then the “who the other two schools” doesn’t matter as much, cause it would be a done deal. It becomes a matter of “fit” not “BCS points”
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 1:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If you are looking for a good "fit" then aren't you looking at TV markets and location?
Houston seems like the obvious choice to me. If these rumors are true, I don’t know why they are taking Nevada over Houston.
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by Michael Rueckert on Nov 12, 2009 1:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I guess it's how you define "fit"
I would say it’s travel geography, and being close together. Houston for example for me is a stretch for a Mountain West “region” (for that matter so is TCU, and San Diego St to some extent).
Next would be size of the university. Small private schools don’t have much of a following. I’d want larger public universities. They tend to fund sports while smaller private schools some times think they are their for high academic purposes (pfff….)
But if it’s all about TV and recruiting bases, then I guess the case for Houston becomes far stronger.
by Redhawk on Nov 12, 2009 2:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Redhawk
Glad you like my UTEP and Sun Bowl suggestion.
All this talk about expansion is amazing. Going to 12 teams and adding a championship that could be played in Denver at Invesco Field would be great.
by The Road on Nov 12, 2009 2:07 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
The only reason for expansion
is to become a BCS AQ Conference. The only football team that can help the MWC do that is Boise State. During the 4 year window ( 2008- 2011) that is set for BCS inclusion, the conference must have more top 25 ranked teams than any existing AQ conference. BSU has a consistent history of top 25 rankings. Also in the formula is the higher ranking of the non AQ conference champion versus any other AQ conference team. If BSU is invited prior to July 1, 2010, then they would be in the MWC for the 2011 season. By being a member of the conference in the 2011 season, BSU’s rankings in the top 25 can be included in the MWC criteria for incusion in the BCS. Therefore BSU must be considered for conference expansion. The MWC probably will not expand for any other reason but to achieve AQ status. To add more that one team in expansion is another discussion altogether.
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by Teamgabriel on Nov 12, 2009 4:11 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
All of BSU's
4 years of top 25 rankings would count for The MWC inclusion for AQ status
by Teamgabriel on Nov 12, 2009 4:14 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes
that would give the MWC four teams in the top 25 BCS final standings. That would be on par with the SEC and Big XII in terms of number of top 25 teams.
by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 12, 2009 5:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
UNLV and SDSU
Don’t forget that both these schools are very good at Basketball. That is a big part of why they are in the conference as well.
Wouldn’t be worth it to drop them for that reason alone.
by RubesBYU on Nov 12, 2009 6:33 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
















