TCU Still leads Boise in Latest BCS Standings

by Jeremy Mauss on Nov 1, 2009 5:50 PM PST in Mountain West Football

TCU moves up pass USC who lost, but an odd observation is that TCU's computer average is .820 compared to .850 from last weeks average. Iowa actually dropped from their number one ranking, but their computer average keeps them a good distance ahead of Cincy and TCU, but well behind the top three.

The difference between TCU and Cincinnati is .0025 and essentially a tie between the two. More good news for those who want chaos is that Utah is officially in the at-large pool by being 14th. While, Houston is 15th and if they and Utah keep winning will both be in the top 14 which would have four non-BCS teams in the at large pool.

I mentioned how TCU has an extreme long shot at getting into the BCS title game but it will take chaos which I am all in favor for happening. Texas and Iowa would need to lose then Florida and Alabama would need to meet in the title game and I can safely assume the loser of the SEC title game would fall behind TCU. Cincy is in a virtual tie with TCU, but with Utah climbing the ranks TCU will have another chance for a quality win. Cincy has Pitt which is 13th and one spot ahead, so those two teams will be close the rest of the way.

LSU and Oregon are an extreme darkhorse for the title game, because LSU plays Alabama and then if win out would play number one Flordia in the SEC title and a win their might be enough. Oregon still has Arizona and Oregon State both good teams, but they will need a ton of help to get to number two. Plus, pesky Iowa will need to lose, which currently seems a formality with their recent close games.

If Texas and the Alabama/Florida winner is in the title game then the BCS will be deemed a success. However, if Cincy, TCU, Iowa, and Cincy can win out there will be a lot of balcony screaming for change plus some Mack Brown style politicking to get into the title game.

There is the pest Notre Dame that is creeping up the rankings and will be chosen as an at-large if they have nine wins and are in the top 14, so beware of the Irish sneaking in and taking an at-large bid; while in the process getting smoked in a BCS game.

As always chaos is my goal in an attempt at change.

		BCS		Harris Poll			USA Today			Computer Rankings
RK	TEAM	AVG	PVS	RK	PTS	%	RK	PTS	%	AVG	A&H	RB	CM	KM	JS	PW	%
1	Florida	.9918	1	1	2803	.9835	1	1463	.9919	1	25	25	25	25	25	24	1.000
2	Texas	.9227	3	2	2714	.9523	2	1395	.9458	3	22	24	23	20	17	22	.870
3	Alabama	.9166	2	3	2672	.9375	3	1390	.9424	3	23	23	22	22	19	20	.870
4	Iowa	.8407	4	7	2209	.7751	6	1161	.7871	2	24	22	24	24	24	25	.960
5	Cincinnati	.8033	8	5	2281	.8004	7	1150	.7797	5	20	17	19	21	23	23	.830
6	TCU	.8008	6	6	2226	.7811	4	1182	.8014	6	21	21	20	18	20	21	.820
7	Boise State	.7863	7	4	2313	.8116	5	1176	.7973	8	18	20	16	19	21	18	.750
8	Oregon	.7651	10	8	2148	.7537	8	1079	.7315	7	19	19	21	23	22	19	.810
9	LSU	.7121	9	9	2070	.7263	9	1062	.7200	9	17	18	17	17	18	17	.690
10	Georgia Tech	.6287	11	11	1775	.6228	11	934	.6332	10	16	16	18	15	15	16	.630
11	Penn State	.6166	12	10	1809	.6347	10	966	.6549	12	14	14	15	14	12	14	.560
12	USC	.5336	5	12	1415	.4965	13	729	.4942	11	15	15	14	16	16	15	.610
13	Pittsburgh	.4401	15	15	1282	.4498	14	694	.4705	14	12	10	11	4	7	12	.400
14	Utah	.4226	16	16	1121	.3933	16	567	.3844	13	13	13	12	11	11	13	.490
15	Houston	.4209	18	14	1303	.4572	15	672	.4556	16	11	8	13	2	5	11	.350
16	Ohio State	.3784	17	13	1369	.4804	12	730	.4949	21	5	5	7	5	0	1	.160
17	Miami (FL)	.3707	19	17	1111	.3898	17	549	.3722	16	8	7	10	9	10	8	.350
18	Arizona	.2589	20	21	598	.2098	19	320	.2169	16	7	0	5	13	14	10	.350
19	Oklahoma State	.2179	14	18	690	.2421	18	371	.2515	21	4	11	4	3	3	5	.160
20	California	.2095	24	22	385	.1351	23	197	.1336	15	3	12	3	12	13	9	.360
21	Wisconsin	.1939	NR	24	295	.1035	22	204	.1383	19	10	3	9	10	8	7	.340
22	Notre Dame	.1903	23	20	657	.2305	21	281	.1905	23	9	0	6	7	2	0	.150
23	Virginia Tech	.1559	13	23	333	.1168	24	193	.1308	20	6	0	8	8	4	4	.220
24	Oklahoma	.1494	NR	19	673	.2361	20	313	.2122	28	0	9	0	0	0	0	.000
25	South Florida	.0786	NR	26	176	.0618	26	65	.0441	24	0	6	0	1	9	6	.130

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Comments

it's great to have four mid level teams in the top 15

i expect bama to beat lsu and cincy still has uconn, wvu and pitt. they will lose. i’m sorry to say boise state has no chance to pass tcu now. utah will around 12th when tcu plays them. i’m a fan of utah football and very glad they are where they are but i see a beatdown coming from tcu in 2 weeks. utah does not even know what qb will be playing. t. cain or jordan wynn. i still think utah will stay around 20th in bcs poll after the game. they can move back up the standings by winning the rest of thie games. i still think 11-2 or 10-3 will be a strong season for a team that lost alot of players from last year. tcu has proven they are the best team in the mwc and probably the best in the west. a matchup with oregon would be nice if it could happen.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 1, 2009 6:20 PM PST reply actions