Week Two of BCS Standings Released

This is the second week of the official BCS standings and there has been a ton of shake up.  The biggest move was that TCU leaped over Boise State this week, and gives them the inside track to their first ever BCS bowl berth.  The jump -- in my opinion-- was inevitable but this soon is a big shock. Boise State did what they needed to do by blowing out Hawaii on the road, but the computers dropped Boise from fifth to eighth; while TCU jumped from eighth to fourth.

Now, all TCU has to do is to run the table which includes really only two tough games; the first is a game a home challenge against Utah who is 16th in the current BCS standings, and then the other is a game at Wyoming.  While, outsiders may see Wyoming as a push over and easy win; however Wyoming is looking to get to six wins but playing in Laramie in November is a real challenge.

Now, there could be some talk of TCU getting to the BCS title, because they still have a game with Utah who will help their strength of schedule, and possibly balance out the other lesser opponents.  However, USC is getting massive love from the human voters even though they have the obvious one loss which is to a 3-5 Washington team, and their best win is over Ohio State who is slightly better then BYU.  USC down the stretch has a better schedule with top ten Oregon and Arizona who is in the top 25, and by going off history if USC is to win out will stay ahead of TCU.

Iowa is another odd case because the computer have them at number one and the humans at eight, despite the close win over FCS opponent Northern Iowa by blocking two field goals at the buzzer, fending off Arkansas State by three, and then needing to beat a 4-4 Michigan State team.  The computers treat all wins equally because of the removal of margin of victory a few years back.  The Hawkeyes do have one good opponent left in Ohio State to prove something to the human voters, and they could be a wildcard for the BCS title if they move up a few spots in the human polls while staying at one.

The odd drops were Cincinatti and Boise State who did what they do by blowing at their opponents, but both droppes three spots. The obvious loser is Boise State this week who is only guaranteed a BCS bowl if they are the highest rated non-BCS team and in the top 12.  Boise does not have the schedule the rest of the way for a quality win and would be in the at-large pool and most likely be left out of the cold again  if they go undefeated.

Chaos is my goal for the BCS in hope of change, and one way would be for either TCU or Boise State to make the title game, and currently TCU has the best chance because they should meet a top 15 Utah in two weeks.  TCU will need help and they will get some by being able to pass the loser of the projected Alabama/Florida loser, but they also need Oregon to beat USC, Iowa to lose to Ohio State, and Texas to lose to Oklahoma State.  Even if all of that happens TCU still might jump ahead to number two.

The other scenario which is more likely is to force the BCS to take two non-BCS teams, because that will take money out of the BCS conferences coffers.  This is possible if Houston keeps winning and moves into the top 14 and thus must be in the mix.  Now, if Utah were to beat TCU that obivously would put Utah in the top 14 and TCU would drop but but still be in the top 14.  With this scenario the top 14 would have Boise State (auto-bid), Utah, TCU, and Houston from the non-BCS ranks. 

Now, there would still be other scenarios such as all of the big six league champs being in the top 14 which be ten teams between the previous mentioned.  There would be three at large spots with one going to the SEC loser and that leaves two spots for three teams.  For the non-BCS hope they would need another SEC team in the mix and then hope the non-BCS gets picked.

Again, that is a plausible long shot, but chaos is my goal.

 

 

BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings
RK TEAM AVG PVS RK PTS % RK PTS % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW %
1 Florida .9726 1 1 2765 .9788 1 1459 .9892 2 24 24 23 23 24 24 .950
2 Alabama .9450 2 2 2674 .9465 2 1399 .9485 3 23 25 24 24 23 23 .940
3 Texas .8927 3 3 2672 .9458 3 1390 .9424 5 21 23 22 16 12 20 .790
4 Iowa .8249 6 8 2086 .7384 8 1086 .7363 1 25 22 25 25 25 25 1.000
5 USC .7944 7 4 2316 .8198 4 1244 .8434 9 18 16 18 19 19 17 .720
6 TCU .7890 8 7 2119 .7501 6 1131 .7668 4 22 21 21 21 18 22 .850
7 Boise State .7752 4 5 2273 .8046 5 1152 .7810 8 16 20 15 20 22 18 .740
8 Cincinnati .7735 5 6 2224 .7873 7 1126 .7634 6 20 18 19 18 20 21 .770
9 LSU .7030 9 9 1994 .7058 9 1037 .7031 10 19 19 17 17 17 16 .700
10 Oregon .6456 11 11 1689 .5979 12 839 .5688 6 17 17 20 22 21 19 .770
11 Georgia Tech .5895 12 12 1644 .5819 11 865 .5864 11 15 15 16 15 15 15 .600
12 Penn State .5851 13 10 1699 .6014 10 935 .6339 13 13 13 13 12 13 13 .520
13 Virginia Tech .4921 14 14 1350 .4779 14 691 .4685 12 14 12 14 13 14 12 .530
14 Oklahoma State .4494 15 13 1522 .5388 13 825 .5593 17 8 11 6 4 0 7 .250
15 Pittsburgh .3415 20 17 952 .3370 17 542 .3675 16 11 10 12 2 2 9 .320
16 Utah .3161 18 19 834 .2952 19 403 .2732 15 9 14 9 8 10 10 .380
17 Ohio State .3147 19 15 1125 .3982 15 569 .3858 23 5 5 5 5 0 1 .160
18 Houston .3085 17 16 1064 .3766 16 544 .3688 22 6 4 7 0 1 8 .180
19 Miami (FL) .2491 10 18 858 .3037 18 433 .2936 24 2 2 3 6 6 4 .150
20 Arizona .2241 22 25 230 .0814 24 149 .1010 14 10 0 11 14 16 14 .490
21 West Virginia .1959 23 20 622 .2202 20 365 .2475 25 7 0 10 3 0 2 .120
22 South Carolina .1891 24 21 475 .1681 21 279 .1892 20 3 7 4 7 8 3 .210
23 Notre Dame .1197 NR 24 236 .0835 25 82 .0556 19 12 0 8 11 3 0 .220
24 California .0916 NR 28 65 .0230 29 32 .0217 18 0 9 0 9 11 5 .230
25 Mississippi .0907 NR 23 342 .1211 22 223 .1512 28 0 3 0 0 0 0 .000
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