Final Week of Simulated BCS Rankings

As always the simulated BCS rankings are brought to you by the BCS Guru who does a great job putting this together, so make sure to patronize their site as a thanks to their hard work, the standings appear after the jump.

The big noise about the BCS standings that officially come out next week is that Alabama and Florida could meet in the BCS title game after the meet in the SEC title game.  Fat chance on that happening; oh how people forget the same scenario was being tossed about in the 2006 game that featured #1 vs. #2 when Ohio State played Michigan. 

That played out as expected with no rematch a month later.  So, the odds of a Albama/Florida rematch the next game is unlikely, first Texas would have to lose a game and so would Virginia Tech, USC, Boise State, Cincinnati, and TCU.  Texas looks to be in the most trouble because two computer hate the Texas and have them 17th and 21st which is the by far the worst out of th top teams, and one would have to look all the down to Penn State at 14 to see comparable computer scores.  Texas is currently 11th in the average computer rankings.  Even with that being so low Alabama/Florida will loss and it is very doubtful a one loss Virgina Tech, USC, LSU, or an undefeated Boise State or TCU will pass the Longhorns. 

Even though Boise State stayed in the same spot after being jumped by Va. Tech and staying ahead of LSU they did gain valuable computer points this week.  Now for them to get to the title game they will need the computers help, but even last year with Utah's high computer rankings they were no where near the number two spot. The Broncos must blowout othe rest of their opponents, and hope Idaho and Oregon keeps winning to improve their SOS.  The only teams below Boise who they most likely should be able to hold off are Ohio State, Iowa, Cincinatti, and Iowa. 

TCU has the teams left on the schedule to get a boost in the rankings with BYU most likely being in the top 15 after they beat San Diego State, and then Utah who should be 8-1 and ranked in the top 20.  These teams left have a chance to propel them ahead of Boise State even if Boise loses, but that means TCU will have to jump a potential undfeated Cincy from the Big East, and many one loss teams who will get the benefit of the doubt; such as USC, and Ohio State.  Jumping Iowa and LSU will not be an issue for TCU but the others will be difficult.  LSU plays Alabama next week and that most likely will result in a LSU loss, and Iowa does play Ohio State later on in the year.

BYU is still in the mix because they play TCU and Utah; with a win over both of those schools coupled with other losses should easily propel the Cougars into the top 12.  They will need help from either Tulsa or another WAC opponent to take out Idaho.  Utah is the extreme darkhorse, but because of schedule they have a shot they also play two top 20 teams in BYU and TCU; toss in Air Force who is a 7-8 win team and Utah should be able to move near the top 12.  The Utes will need help from Cincinatti, because if Utah is not in the top 12 then they must be in the top 16 and have a BCS league champ below sixteen; so Cicny might have to lose twice for that to happen.

The official standings are released next Sunday night, so more controversy can be flung around sports talk radio, print, and the fun loving blogosphere.  Also, remeber the season is still young and there is a ton of football to be played.