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Mountain West Bowl Projections

Their will be one more bowl projection which will come next Sunday night once the season officially ends. The Mountain West teams most likely will not change but their opponents most likely will.

Also, do not but the hype of Boise State playing in the Poinsettia Bowl against BYU or TCU, because last year Boise spurned their own bowl in Boise to go to Hawaii and they will not let that happen again.

Utah vs. Texas

This could go either way with Utah in the Fiesta or Sugar. The way the Fiesta Bowl picks is that if Oklahoma or Texas play in the title game the Fiesta gets first pick and will most likely keep it in the Big XII, then Fiesta gets the third pick which could come down to Utah or Ohio State. My gut is Utah because last time Utah went to the Fiesta they brought 55,000 to the stadium and I was one of them. Ohio State is as attractive because they will travel.

The other possibility is Utah in the Sugar against Florida or Alabama, which is very likely. I think the Fiesta Bowl wants more of a sure thing since Ohio State has traveled well in their last two BCS bowl games

TCU vs. Rice

If you read what most 'experts' say they put Air Force in this bowl, but do not buy that. TCU has never traveled well in bowl games, and the stadium is going to most likely be a sell out with the home team playing. Also, Rice is only a few hours away from Fort Worth and this is an old Southwest Conference matchup.

BYU Vs. Arizona

Same thing can be said about BYU, the Vegas bowl will have an automatic sell out by picking BYU who has won the last couple of these and packed the sponsors hotels. TCU should go here but why would the bowl want to risk having a half full stadium, even though TCU should be going to this bowl game.

Colorado State vs. Nevada

The Rams are all but locked up since the New Mexico bowl has the last pick in the Mountain West pecking order. The Rams will bring the fans since Albuquerque is not too far, plus this is the Rams first bowl game since 2005.

Air Force vs. Louisiana Tech

Air Force goes bowling a second year, and while the Pac-10 is slotted here they do not have enough teams and Louisiana Tech is 7-5 and is guaranteed a bowl spot. Other possibilities are Fresno State out of the WAC or Houston from C-USA.

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Just a few comments:

1 – the Humanitarian Bowl does not make the decision on who goes there, the WAC does, so don’t think for a second the H-Bowl has any control on whether they’re spurned two years in a row. The H-Bowl is trying to get Ball State to play Boise St, but Ball State has said they won’t play on Boise’s home turf, so that idea is probably dead.

2 – From what I understand (from interviews) the Poinsettia Bowl officials have already said they’d take TCU if BYU goes to the Vegas Bowl, so the chances of them going to the Armed Forces Bowl is pretty much slim to none.

3 – Your Las Vegas pick is spot on as Cal and Arizona are working out a deal to switch bowls. This would keep Cal in the Bay area instead of sending them to Vegas.

4 – Poinsettia will likely be TCU vs Nevada, if Boise State isn’t sent there instead. But LA Tech is a possibility as well.

by Roy on Dec 2, 2008 11:15 AM PST reply actions  

I’m going to try not to “but the hype of Boise State” either.

:-)

by mediaguru on Dec 2, 2008 12:07 PM PST reply actions  

Roy

The Humanitarian Bowl gets first choice of the WAC schools, the league does not decide where teams go, the bowls pick.

by Jeremy on Dec 2, 2008 3:37 PM PST reply actions  

Jeremy,
You are a bad boy. You also know that when Saban said his “team was disaspointed”, he was talking about the loss to Florida and an opportunity to play for a National Championship. . He said nothing of Utah in that phrase. It is rather a ploy to anger the Ute’s ire.
We know that Utah is capable of beating Alabama,
because last year Louisana-Monroe beat us.
Stop the disrespect. Please. Let our teams meet on the field and may the best team win.

by Mag on Dec 8, 2008 7:15 PM PST reply actions  

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